Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.