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Sunderland
League One | Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
Lincoln City

Sunderland
1 - 3
Lincoln

Stewart (68' pen.)
Winchester (41'), Doyle (90+7')
Winchester (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maguire (31', 57' pen., 75')
Maguire (10'), Bishop (23'), Eyoma (42'), Whittaker (64'), Fiorini (84'), Sorensen (90+1'), McGrandles (90+7')

Preview: Sunderland vs. Lincoln City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Sunderland and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sunderland play host to Lincoln City on Tuesday evening with the opportunity to move to the top of the League One standings.

Meanwhile, Lincoln only moved outside of the relegation zone at the weekend, getting the better of promotion contenders Oxford United.


Match preview

Sunderland manager Lee Johnson after the match on September 21, 2021© Reuters

Having held a lead in added-on time against Wycombe Wanderers at the weekend, Sunderland boss Lee Johnson cannot be satisfied with the eventual 3-3 draw.

Nevertheless, avoiding defeat at the home of their promotion rivals should not necessarily be regarded as a disappointing result, the Black Cats now unbeaten in 10 league matches.

Sunderland have played more matches than many of the teams competing for a return to the second tier, but the North-East outfit at least have an opportunity to lay down a further marker on Tuesday night.

Johnson's side have spent much of the campaign playing catch-up, and victory at the Stadium of Light would alleviate some of the pressure which has consistently been on their shoulders.

Ross Stewart scored another two goals at Adams Park, the Scottish frontman having now netted 17 strikes from 25 league appearances this season.

Lincoln would have expected to be rivalling Sunderland for promotion again after agonisingly missing out in the League One playoff final in May.

However, it took an unexpected triumph versus Oxford to move Michael Appleton's team outside of the bottom four, ending a seven-game winless streak in the process.

Given the players at his disposal, Appleton will be confident that Lincoln will eventually move clear of any danger, but they require more performances like the one at Sincil Bank at the weekend.

Morgan Whittaker could prove to be an inspired signing at this level, and the Swansea City loanee got off the mark on his debut.

Sunderland League One form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D

Sunderland form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Lincoln City League One form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Lincoln City form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W



Team News

Lincoln's coach Michael Appleton on May 19, 2021© Reuters

Sunderland will be without midfielder Corry Evans, who will have to sit out the upcoming games after suffering a head injury at Wycombe.

Johnson has suggested that none of his other sidelined players will return, which could lead to just Jack Diamond being drafted into the team.

Denver Hume may be included down the left-hand side if Johnson attempts to rejig his side.

Lincoln defender Lewis Montsma sustained a knee injury against Oxford, leading to Lasse Sorensen having to deputise in a deeper position than usual.

Given the club's injury list, midfielder Sorensen may line up in that role on Tuesday, while Anthony Scully will be assessed after making his first start since November 20.

Sunderland possible starting lineup:
Patterson; Winchester, Flanagan, Doyle, Cirkin; Diamond, Neil; Gooch, Pritchard, Embleton; Stewart

Lincoln City possible starting lineup:
Griffiths; Eyoma, Sorensen, Poole, Bramall; Fiorini, McGrandles, Bishop; Whittaker, Maguire, Scully


SM words green background

We say: Sunderland 3-1 Lincoln City

After ending their winless streak at the weekend, Lincoln travel to the Stadium of Light full of confidence and with a little less pressure on their shoulders. Nevertheless, Sunderland will be determined to move clear of Rotherham, and we expect the home side to collect all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Sunderland vs Lincoln

Sunderland
91.0%
Draw
5.6%
Lincoln City
3.4%
89
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