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Sudan national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 11, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Guinea-Bissau national football team

Sudan
0 - 0
Guinea-Bissau


Nemer (15'), Mohamedein (50')
FT

Mendes (13')

Preview: Sudan vs. Guinea-Bissau - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Sudan and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sudan and Guinea-Bissau get their Africa Cup of Nations campaign underway on Tuesday when they go head to head in Group D at the Stade Roumde Adjia.

Both sides have been drawn in Group D, alongside Nigeria and Egypt, and will be seeking to pick up an opening-day win to set the pace for their subsequent group outings against the two African giants.


Match preview

Ranked 125th in the latest FIFA World Rankings and 33rd in Africa, Sudan are one of the surprise entries at this year's Africa Cup of Nations and will be making their ninth appearance in the competition.

After a sloppy start to the qualifiers, where they picked up three points from their opening three games in Group C, the Falcons of Jediane turned a corner in their final three games, claiming maximum points, including a final-day 2-0 win over third-placed South Africa which sealed their ticket to Cameroon.

The Northeastern African side, who lifted the title as host nation in 1970, when they edged out Ghana 1-0 in the final, have merely been spectators since then, only making it past the group stage in their last appearance back in 2012.

Sudan head into Tuesday's game without a win in 10 consecutive games, losing seven and managing three draws since a 1-0 victory over Libya in the Arab Cup qualifiers on June 19.

This horrid run saw them miss out on a place in the playoffs of the 2022 World Cup qualifiers before suffering a group-stage exit from the Arab Cup, where they lost each of their three games, while shipping 10 goals and failing to find the back of the net.

With more Herculean games against two of the most experienced and decorated African sides in Nigeria and Egypt still to come, Sudan will look to end this poor run and mark their return to the tournament on a winning note.

However, standing in their way is a Guinea-Bissau side who they failed to defeat in two successive meetings last year, losing 4-2 in September before holding out for an uneventful goalless draw two months later in Group I of the World Cup qualifiers.

Meanwhile, Guinea-Bissau secured qualification into the tournament by the skin of their teeth, securing a 3-0 victory over Congo in their final qualification game back in March 2021.

Baciro Cande's side won three and lost three of their six games to collect nine points and finish one point above third-placed Congo and five adrift of group winners Senegal in group I of the qualifiers.

Like Sudan, Guinea-Bissau head into Tuesday's game in poor form, picking up just one win from their most recent six games, while losing two and claiming three draws, which saw them fail to progress into the next phase of the World Cup qualifiers.

The Djurtus, who are currently ranked 106th in the world, have made just two appearances at the Africa Cup of Nations, which came in 2017 and 2019, when they failed to taste victory and crashed out in the group stages respectively.

While Guinea-Bissau may not necessarily have their sights on conquering the continent, a first knockout stage appearance at the prestigious tournament will be the goal, and picking up their first-ever win should help set the pace for what is to come.

Sudan form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Guinea-Bissau form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D


Team News

The Falcons of Jediane head into the tournament with a relatively inexperienced squad, with Al-Hilal Club goalkeeper Ali Abu Eshrein being the most capped player in the team with just 21 appearances.

Muhamed Amin, who turns out for Swedish outfit Motala AIF, is the only foreign-based player in the Sudanese squad with six players contracted to Al-Merrikh, including Mohamed Mustafa, Mohamed Al Rashed and captain Salah Nemer.

Suliman Zakaria, Alsheikh Muhamed, Sharif Omer and Muhamed Zurga are in line to make their senior debuts after receiving their first call-up by manager Burhan Tia.

Meanwhile, Guinea-Bissau have assembled a solid 28-man squad for the competition, including Al Shoulla forward Piqueti, who grabbed two goals in the qualifiers.

The 28-year-old is currently second in the nation's all-time goalscoring chart with seven goals and will look to break Nando Co's record of nine.

Jonas Mendes is currently the most experienced player in the nation's history with 50 appearances so far, and we expect the 32-year-old to start in goal once again, while we should see Vitoria de Guimaraes midfielder Alfa Semedo run the show at the heart of the park.

Sudan possible starting lineup:
Eshrein; Nemer, Karshoum, Hassan, Mohamedein; Al Rasheed, Khedr, Mahjoub; Hamed, Abdelrahman, Nooh

Guinea-Bissau possible starting lineup:
Mendes; Nanu, Sangatte, Djalo, Cande; Jaquite, Semedo, Pele; Jorginho, Mendy, Piqueti


SM words green background

We say: Sudan 0-1 Guinea-Bissau

Looking at their respective forms heading into the game, we expect a cagey affair with little goalmouth action. We are tipping Guinea-Bissau to come away with a narrow win as they take on an inexperienced Sudan side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (12.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Sudan vs Guinea-Bissau

Sudan
17.9%
Draw
22.2%
Guinea-Bissau
59.8%
117
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Equatorial Guinea flag Eq Guinea32107
Q Nigeria Nigeria32107
Q Cote D'Ivoire flag Ivory Coast31023
4 Guinea-Bissau flag Guinea-Bissau30030

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Cape Verde flag Cape Verde32107
Q Egypt Egypt30303
3 Ghana flag Ghana30212
4 Mozambique flag Mozambique30212

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Senegal flag Senegal33009
Q Guinea flag Guinea31114
Q Cameroon flag Cameroon31114
4 Gambia flag Gambia30030

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Angola Angola32107
Q Burkina Faso flag Burkina Faso31114
Q Mauritania flag Mauritania31023
4 Algeria Algeria30212

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Mali flag Mali31205
Q South Africa South Africa31114
Q Namibia Namibia31114
4 Tunisia Tunisia30212

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Morocco Morocco32107
Q DR Congo flag Congo DR30303
3 Tanzania flag Tanzania30212
4 Zambia flag Zambia30212


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