Europa League
Gameweek
3
-
Oumar Diakité
13'
-
Oumar Diakité
32'
-
Luca Weinhandl
63'
-
Arjan Malic
84'
-
Angel Gomes 24'
-
Amine Gouiri 80'
-
Bamo Meïté 90'+1'
Sturm Graz vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result
Sturm Graz
36.29%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
22.68%
Marseille
41.03%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
59.34%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.58%
Under 1.5
18.42%
Over 2.5
60.44%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
39.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
38.15%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
61.85%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
23.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
76.19%
▲
(+0.01)
First Half Winner
Sturm Graz
28.08%
Draw
36.43%
Marseille
35.49%
Team To Score First
Sturm Graz
44.28%
▼
(-0.01)
No Goal
4.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Marseille
51.17%
Corners
Over 8
59.97%
Equal 8
10.64%
Under 8
29.39%
Over 9
48.94%
Equal 9
11.03%
Under 9
40.03%
Over 10.5
38.4%
Under 10.5
61.6%
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 1.5
40.95%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
59.05%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 2.5
18.22%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
81.78%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
7.37%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
92.63%
▼
(-0.04)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
73.77%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
26.23%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
44.76%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
55.24%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
21.43%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
78.57%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
8.62%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
91.38%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Sturm Graz
36.3%
Draw
22.68%
Marseille
41.03%
Sturm Graz
2-1
@
7.94%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 36.3%
1-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 36.3%
Draw
1-1
@
10.26%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.68%
2-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.68%
Marseille
1-2
@
8.5%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 41.03%
0-1 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 41.03%