Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Britannia Stadium
  • Miguel Monferrer 55' goal
  • goal Arnaut Danjuma 12'

Stoke City vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 7.45pm
Stoke 1 - 0 Everton

Valencia

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 1.00pm
Derby 0 - 0 Valencia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Stoke City 29.57% (-0.06)
Draw 26.27% (-0.02)
Valencia 44.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.51%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.31% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.69% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 50.06%
Under 2.5 49.94%
Over 3.5 28.39%
Under 3.5 71.61%
Over 4.5 15.84% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.16% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 23.76% (+0.02)
Draw 44.37% (-0.02)
Valencia 31.87%

Team To Score First

Stoke City 39.91% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.59% (-0.01)
Valencia 52.5%

Corners

Over 8 64.04%
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 24.78%
Over 9 52.02%
Equal 9 12.02%
Under 9 35.96%
Over 10.5 40.25%
Under 10.5 59.75%

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 30.85% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.15% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.9% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.1% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.07% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.93% (+0.02)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 74.79% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 25.21% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 42.63% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.37% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.44% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.56% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.8%
Under 3.5 93.2%

Score analysis

Stoke City 29.56%
Draw 26.27%
Valencia 44.1%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.06% (-0.01)
Total : 29.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.27%
Valencia
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.74%
Other @ 6.79%
Total : 44.1%