When Arsenal played host to Tottenham Hotspur back at the start of October, just one point separated the two sides, and there was every indication that the two North London neighbours could emerge as rivals for the Premier League title. However, since the Gunners deservedly won 3-1 at the Emirates Stadium, the two clubs have gone in different directions, the gap now standing at 11 points and Spurs left in a position where they can ill-afford any more slip-ups if they wish to remain in contention. With the Manchester derby taking place on Saturday, there is the possibility of just eight points covering the top five clubs, but do the betting odds suggest that you should be placing faith in Antonio Conte's team this weekend?
Punters should take a look at the matchbook welcome offer, the same viewpoint could be established with Arsenal being a best price of 5/4 for this contest. For a team that has won nine and drew two of their last 11 top-flight fixtures, that price appears generous, particularly with Spurs having lost three of their most recent four Premier League outings at their home ground. Although they have emerged victorious in their other six games, a total of 13 goals have been conceded in nine encounters, and an Arsenal XI lacking Gabriel Jesus possess more than enough firepower to inflict more misery on Spurs at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Gabriel Martinelli did not get among the goalscorers in the reverse fixture, but the winger has netted the first goal in three league fixtures this campaign. In 17 games, that is not necessarily a record to shout about, but betting odds of 9/1 make it worth a punt with Martinelli having seven strikes and two assists to his name. If that price is not speculative enough for you, then the most optimistic of punter may be prepared to back Eddie Nketiah to net a hat-trick at 150/1. While the frontman has just two Premier League goals in 412 minutes this season, he has netted in four of his last five outings in all competitions, benefitting from a run in the team due to Jesus's absence.
With these two teams the second and third highest goalscorers in the Premier League, few people will be anticipating a stalemate, and it makes sense to opt for goals. Each of the last 10 matches between these two clubs has featured at least two strikes, while the last four has included three or more goals. All things considered, this fixture is historically one of the more entertaining derbies in English football, and betting odds of 2/1 are available for over 3.5 goals.
As well as goals, red cards are a common feature. There has been a dismissal in three of the last four North London derbies, the most recent coming in the reverse fixture as Emerson Royal was handed a straight red for a mistimed challenge on Martinelli. Although calmer heads could prevail this time around, 3/1 is on offer for a sending off, and it may be the way to go rather than being specific on players picking up cautions throughout the contest.