Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
47.14% ( 0)	23.41% ( 0.01)	29.45% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 60.84% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.48% (

-0.04)

40.52% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.1% (

-0.04)

62.9% (

0.04)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54% (

-0.01)

17.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.07% (

-0.02)

47.92% (

0.02)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.71% (

-0.03)

26.29% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.58% (

-0.04)

61.41% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 47.14%

Los Angeles Galaxy 29.45%

Draw 23.4%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 3.93% Total : 47.14%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.4%	1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.45%