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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PSV

Sparta
1 - 2
PSV

Thy (32')
de Kamps (39'), van Crooij (62'), Engels (63'), Beugelsdijk (90+5'), Meijers (90+6')
Verschueren (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Junior (59'), Doan (67')
Max (20'), Teze (38'), Sangare (38')

Preview: Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV Eindhoven - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sparta Rotterdam ended a 10-game winless run in all competitions with a victory over Willem II last weekend, but they face a tough test on Sunday when they play host to PSV Eindhoven.

Meanwhile, second-placed PSV cannot afford to drop points as they look to keep pace with league leaders Ajax.


Match preview

Henk Fraser, now in charge of Sparta Rotterdam, pictured in 2017© Reuters

Sparta Rotterdam occupy one of the two automatic relegation places, with one point separating them from the relegation playoff spot, while they are four points adrift of safety.

The hosts have won three league games all season, with two of those victories coming against Willem II, who they edged out in their last outing.

In that contest, a second-half strike from Younes Namli proved enough to help his side to a crucial 1-0 victory, which will give Sparta Rotterdam renewed belief that they can beat the drop.

Sparta missed out on the chance to build upon that victory with their contest against Fortuna Sittard postponed last weekend.

Henk Fraser's side may be pessimistic about their chances of finding a way past the PSV defence, with Sparta currently holding the worst goalscoring record in the Eredivisie.

PSV Eindhoven's Yorbe Vertessen celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 24, 2022© Reuters

PSV have a five-point gap to make up in 11 matches if they are to clinch their first Eredivisie title since 2018, although their first priority will be to secure second place, with Feyenoord just a point behind Roger Schmidt's side.

On Thursday, PSV extended their unbeaten run to five matches in all competitions, as they played out a 1-1 away draw against Maccabi Tel Aviv to ensure their progression to the Europa Conference League last 16.

It took 85 minutes for the deadlock to be broken, with Yorbe Vertessen grabbing the opener for the Dutch side, and though Maccabi Tel Aviv scored in injury time, it was not enough to prevent PSV from claiming a 2-1 aggregate victory.

That win earned PSV a tie with FC Copenhagen, but they will put their European campaign on hold as they look to claim a fifth consecutive away league victory.

Boasting the second-best away record in the Eredivisie, Schmidt's men will be confident that they can emerge victorious on Sunday.

Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

PSV Eindhoven form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

PSV Eindhoven's Cody Gakpo celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 17, 2022© Reuters

Without a game for two weeks, the hosts will be well-rested ahead of Sunday's contest.

Adil Auassar has started the last two matches for Sparta Rotterdam and the 35-year-old is expected to once again partner Bart Vriends in the centre of defence.

In his fourth appearance for his new club, Namli scored his first Sparta Rotterdam goal against Willem II last time out, and the midfielder will be looking to pose a goal threat once again on Sunday.

Meanwhile, PSV are without the services of Marco van Ginkel and Armando Obispo, who will miss Sunday's contest due to injury issues.

Cody Gakpo has top-scored for PSV in the league this season, but injury will rule him out of the trip to Rotterdam, while Phillipp Mwene is also a doubt.

After featuring in European competition on Thursday, Schmidt may freshen his side up, which could result in Bruma and Carlos Vinicius coming into the team.

Sparta Rotterdam possible starting lineup:
Okoye; Abels, Vriends, Auassar, Durmisi; Namli, De Kamps, Verschueren, Van Crooij; Thy, Engels

PSV Eindhoven possible starting lineup:
Drommel; Junior, Teze, Boscagli, Max; Sangare, Gutierrez, Gotze; Madueke, Bruma, Vinicius


SM words green background

We say: Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

Despite ending their winless run last weekend, we think that Sparta Rotterdam will struggle when they come up against title chasing PSV on Sunday, and we believe the visitors will ease past their hosts to extend their unbeaten run to six-matches in all competitions.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.49%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Sparta vs PSV

Sparta Rotterdam
3.4%
Draw
3.4%
PSV Eindhoven
93.1%
29
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV30263195177881
2Feyenoord30226277235472
3FC Twente30186656302660
4AZ AlkmaarAZ30167759352455
5Ajax3013986356748
6NECNijmegen301211759441547
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3012994341245
8Go Ahead Eagles30119104439542
9Sparta RotterdamSparta30117124543240
10Heerenveen30106145056-636
11Fortuna SittardSittard3098133452-1835
12Almere CityAlmere City30712113048-1833
13PEC Zwolle3088144058-1832
14Heracles3095164062-2232
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior30510154464-2025
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3066182950-2124
17FC VolendamVolendam3047193074-4419
18Vitesse3045212268-4617


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