Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a NS Mura win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.