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UEFA Conference League

Maribor
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt

Maribor
2 - 1
FK Vojvodina

Ilicic (59'), Soudani (90+7')
Sirvys (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zady (77')
Butean (35'), Petrovic (44'), Yusuf (84')
Medojevic (69')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and FK Vojvodina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Maribor 1-1 Bravo
Sunday, August 4 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

FK Vojvodina

All competitions
Last Game: FK Vojvodina 1-3 Ajax
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bravo62.00Pecar
2Maribor52.50Jakupovic
3Ljubljana51.67Durdov
4NS Mura41.33Marosa
5Koper31.00Curcio
6Celje21.00Jaksic
7Domzale20.67Krstovski
8Nafta20.67Klausz
9Radomlje20.67Kukovec
10Primorje00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for FK Vojvodina had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest FK Vojvodina win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Maribor in this match.

Result
MariborDrawFK Vojvodina
52.93% (0.201 0.2)22.22% (-0.029 -0.03)24.85% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.94% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)38.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)60.9% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (0.055000000000007 0.06)14.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14% (0.106 0.11)42.86% (-0.104 -0.1)
FK Vojvodina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.148 -0.15)28.57% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (-0.189 -0.19)64.37% (0.19099999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 52.93%
    FK Vojvodina 24.85%
    Draw 22.22%
MariborDrawFK Vojvodina
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.18% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 52.93%
1-1 @ 10.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 24.85%

How you voted: Maribor vs FK Vojvodina

Maribor
61.5%
Draw
23.1%
FK Vojvodina
15.4%
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