Slovenian PrvaLiga Gameweek 4
Aug 9, 2026 4.30pm
Športni Park Aluminij

Aluminij vs Nafta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aluminij

All competitions
Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 7.15pm
Ljubljana 1 - 0 Aluminij

Nafta

All competitions
Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 5.00pm
Nafta 5 - 2 NS Mura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nafta win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Aluminij has a probability of 26.9% and a draw has a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nafta win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Aluminij win is 1-0 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.76%).

Result

Aluminij 26.9% (-0.09)
Draw 26.59% (-0.04)
Nafta 46.51% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.51% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.22% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 27.78% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 48.28% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 51.72% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 26.77% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 73.23% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 15.15% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.85% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Aluminij 21.02% (-0.04)
Draw 39.74%
Nafta 39.24% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Aluminij 33.18% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.99% (+0.03)
Nafta 57.83% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.21% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.13% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.66% (+0.11)
Over 9 47.75% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.46% (-0.03)
Under 9 40.79% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 36.89% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 63.11% (+0.04)

Aluminij Goals

Over 1.5 27.69% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 72.31% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 9.91% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 90.09% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.75% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.25% (+0.04)

Nafta Goals

Over 0.5 75.03%
Under 0.5 24.97%
Over 1.5 43.08% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.92% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 19.42% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 80.58% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.24% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.76% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Aluminij 26.9%
Draw 26.59%
Nafta 46.51%
Aluminij
1-0 @ 7.5% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.42% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.6% (-0.03)
Total : 26.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 8.99% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 26.59%
Nafta
0-1 @ 11.29% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.12% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.29%
2-3 @ 2.45%
Other @ 7.09%
Total : 46.51%