Europa League
Jul 9, 2026 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sheriff Stadium
  • Bourama Fomba 48' yellowcard
  • Zé Flores 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matic Vrbanec 46'

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheriff Tiraspol

All competitions

Aluminij

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.95% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%) , while for a Aluminij win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Sheriff Tiraspol 60.73% (+0.28)
Draw 19.95% (-0.15)
Aluminij 19.35% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.62% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.77% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 21.23% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 56.3% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 43.7% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 33.89% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 66.11% (-0.38)
Over 4.5 21.91% (+0.29)
Under 4.5 78.09% (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Sheriff Tiraspol 52.49% (-0.86)
Draw 34.45% (+0.72)
Aluminij 13.06% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Sheriff Tiraspol 69.68% (-0.59)
No Goal 5.36% (-0.06)
Aluminij 24.96% (+0.66)

Corners

Over 8 50.14% (+2.18)
Equal 8 12.16% (+0.70)
Under 8 37.7% (-2.87)
Over 9 38.47% (+1.33)
Equal 9 11.67% (+0.85)
Under 9 49.86% (-2.18)
Over 10.5 28.19% (+0.49)
Under 10.5 71.81% (-0.49)

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 1.5 56.79% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 43.21% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 30.76% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 69.24% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 13.66% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 86.34% (+0.08)

Aluminij Goals

Over 0.5 52.11% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 47.89% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 22.75% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 77.25% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.43% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 91.57% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 2.81% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 97.19% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol 60.73%
Draw 19.95%
Aluminij 19.35%
Sheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 10.73% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.39% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.82% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.96% (+0.19)
Other @ 13.48% (-0.11)
Total : 60.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.04)
Total : 19.95%
Aluminij
0-1 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.65% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.94% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.7% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.63% (+0.11)
Total : 19.35%