Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aluminij win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Primorje had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aluminij win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Primorje win was 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.