Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.95% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (10.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%) , while for a Aluminij win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.