Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Nafta had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Nafta win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.