Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nafta had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Nafta win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.