Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 34
May 11, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Ljudski vrt

Maribor
3 - 1
Primorje

Tetteh (5' pen., 76'), Repas (6')
Ojo (12')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Besir (82')
Stozinic (45+1'), Rafiu (63')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Maribor and Primorje.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

All competitions
Last Game: Maribor 1-1 Celje
Wednesday, May 7 at 5.45pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Primorje

All competitions
Last Game: Primorje 0-5 Celje
Sunday, May 4 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Primorje had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Primorje win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.

Result
MariborDrawPrimorje
58.4% (0.31 0.31)21.79% (0.036999999999999 0.04)19.81% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 55.38% (-0.7 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.29% (-0.655 -0.66)42.71% (0.659 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (-0.654 -0.65)65.12% (0.65900000000001 0.66)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.67% (-0.119 -0.12)14.33% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.83% (-0.234 -0.23)42.17% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Primorje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)35.36% (0.729 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-0.761 -0.76)72.12% (0.765 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 58.4%
    Primorje 19.81%
    Draw 21.78%
MariborDrawPrimorje
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.243 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.19% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.4%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.147 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.27% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 19.81%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2025 2pm
Gameweek 25
Primorje
2-1
Maribor
Kadric (8'), Zavnik (82' pen.)
Fogec (70'), Kadric (83'), Posavec (90+4')
Klemencic (69' og.)
Reghba (42'), Repas (51'), Rekik (63')
Nov 24, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Primorje
2-0
Maribor
Gulic (38'), Besir (55')
Miguel Trevizan Telles (84')
Stozinic (60')

Repas (57'), Tetteh (85')
Sep 1, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Maribor
4-1
Primorje
Yves Beugre (38'), Mbina (42', 90+4'), Sikosek (45+4')
Vrhovec (12')
Smajlagic (20')
Miguel Trevizan Telles (36'), Dedic (52'), Besir (90+3')