Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Koper had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Koper win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.