Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nafta win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nafta win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.