Europa League
Jul 16, 2026 7.00pm
Ljudski vrt

Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aluminij

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 6.00pm
Sheriff Tiraspol 0 - 0 Aluminij

Sheriff Tiraspol

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 6.00pm
Sheriff Tiraspol 0 - 0 Aluminij

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for Aluminij has a probability of 25.89% and a draw has a probability of 20.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Aluminij win is 1-0 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.41%).

Result

Aluminij 25.89% (+0.04)
Draw 20.18% (+0.02)
Sheriff Tiraspol 53.9% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.34% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.84% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.16% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 53.35% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 46.65% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 30.72% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 69.28% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 19.46% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.54% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Aluminij 13.56% (+0.01)
Draw 38.41% (+0.02)
Sheriff Tiraspol 48.02% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Aluminij 24.27% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.33% (-0.02)
Sheriff Tiraspol 69.4%

Corners

Over 8 50.18% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.51% (-0.01)
Under 8 38.31% (+0.07)
Over 9 39.12% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.06% (-0.01)
Under 9 49.82% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 29.3% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 70.7% (+0.04)

Aluminij Goals

Over 1.5 26.11% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 73.89% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.91% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.09% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.46%
Under 3.5 96.54%

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5 77.05% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.95% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 49.74% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 50.26% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 26.27% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 73.73% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 11.45% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 88.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Aluminij 25.88%
Draw 20.19%
Sheriff Tiraspol 53.9%
Aluminij
1-0 @ 6.7% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 25.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41%
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.19%
Sheriff Tiraspol
0-1 @ 10.1% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 9.6% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-3 @ 6.75%
1-3 @ 5%
2-3 @ 2.48%
Other @ 11.44% (+0.02)
Total : 53.9%

Head to Head

Europa League
Jul 9, 2026 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sheriff Stadium
  • Bourama Fomba 48' yellowcard
  • Zé Flores 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matic Vrbanec 46'