Europa League
Jul 16, 2026 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ljudski vrt
  • Matic Vrbanec 23' yellowcard
  • Vito Tezak 34' yellowcard
  • Tomislav Jagic  61' yellowcard
  • goal Loukou Jaures-Ulrich 5'
  • yellowcard Jayder Asprilla 61'

Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aluminij

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 6.00pm
Sheriff Tiraspol 0 - 0 Aluminij

Sheriff Tiraspol

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 6.00pm
Sheriff Tiraspol 0 - 0 Aluminij

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 53.96%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-0 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Aluminij 25.89% (-0.04)
Draw 20.15% (-0.04)
Sheriff Tiraspol 53.96% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.39% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.89% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.11% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 53.39%
Under 2.5 46.61%
Over 3.5 30.76% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.24% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 19.49% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.51% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Aluminij 13.4% (-0.17)
Draw 38.05% (-0.34)
Sheriff Tiraspol 48.55% (+0.49)

Team To Score First

Aluminij 23.78% (-0.50)
No Goal 6.32%
Sheriff Tiraspol 69.9% (+0.50)

Corners

Over 8 50.09% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 38.41% (+0.09)
Over 9 39.03% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.05% (-0.01)
Under 9 49.91% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 29.24% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 70.76% (+0.06)

Aluminij Goals

Over 1.5 26.11% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 73.89% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.93% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.07% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.48%
Under 3.5 96.52%

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5 77.1% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.9% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 49.78% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 50.22% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 26.31% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 73.69% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 11.46%
Under 3.5 88.54%

Score analysis

Aluminij 25.89%
Draw 20.16%
Sheriff Tiraspol 53.97%
Aluminij
1-0 @ 6.7% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 25.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.16%
Sheriff Tiraspol
0-1 @ 10.11% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 8.54% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.02% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.45%
Total : 53.97%

Head to Head

Europa League
Jul 9, 2026 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sheriff Stadium
  • Bourama Fomba 48' yellowcard
  • Zé Flores 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matic Vrbanec 46'