Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).