UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 2nd Leg

Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Slovenia
1 - 0
Slovakia

(Slovenia win 1-0 on aggregate)

Gnezda Cerin (95')
Gnezda Cerin (63'), Drkusic (88'), Janza (100'), Petrovic (101'), Kramer (118')

FT
(aet)

Duda (67'), (90'), Suslov (100'), Lobotka (112')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Slovakia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Slovakia
33.27% ( -0.07)	26% ( 0.02)	40.72% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.74% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.42% (

-0.09)

50.58% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.5% (

-0.08)

72.49% (

0.08)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

-0.09)

28.79% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

-0.11)

64.64% (

0.11)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.47% (

-0.02)

24.52% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.01% (

-0.02)

58.99% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 33.27%

Slovakia 40.73%

Draw 25.99%

Slovenia	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.27%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.73%