SheBelieves Cup | Group Stage

Feb 27, 2025 at 3.30am UK

USA Women
1 - 2
Japan Women

Sentnor (14', 14')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Momiki (2', 2'), Koga (50', 50')

Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Group Stage clash between USA Women and Japan Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions

SheBelieves Cup

Last Game: USA Women 2-1 Australia Women
Sunday, February 23 at 10pm in SheBelieves Cup

Current Group Stage Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	2	7	6
2	USA Women	2	3	6
3	Colombia Women	3	-4	3
4	Australia Women	3	-6	0

Japan Women

All competitions

SheBelieves Cup

Last Game: Colombia Women 1-4 Japan Women
Sunday, February 23 at 7pm in SheBelieves Cup

Current Group Stage Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	2	7	6
2	USA Women	2	3	6
3	Colombia Women	3	-4	3
4	Australia Women	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 67.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 13.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Japan Women win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
USA Women	Draw	Japan Women
67.47% ( -0.9)	19.07% ( 0.4)	13.46% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 50.52% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.82% (

-0.66)

42.18% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.42% (

-0.67)

64.58% (

0.67)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.46% (

-0.43)

11.54% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.55% (

-0.93)

36.45% (

0.93)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.1% (

0.33)

42.9% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.8% (

0.28)

79.2% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

USA Women 67.46%

Japan Women 13.46%

Draw 19.07%

USA Women	Draw	Japan Women
2-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.69% Total : 67.46%	1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.07%	0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.46%