SheBelieves Cup
Feb 27, 2025 3.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Allyson Sentnor 14' goal
  • Allyson Sentnor 14' goal
  • goal Yuka Momiki 2'
  • goal Yuka Momiki 2'
  • goal Toko Koga 50'
  • goal Toko Koga 50'

USA Women vs Japan Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 10.00pm
USA Women 2 - 1 Australia Women

Japan Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 7.00pm
Colombia Women 1 - 4 Japan Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 67.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 13.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Japan Women win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

USA Women 67.47% (-0.90)
Draw 19.07% (+0.41)
Japan Women 13.46% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.52% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.82% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 42.18% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 35.42% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 64.58% (+0.68)
Over 4.5 18.58% (-0.51)
Under 4.5 81.42% (+0.51)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5 88.46% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 11.54% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 63.55% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 36.45% (+0.93)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5 57.1% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 42.9% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 20.8% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 79.2% (-0.29)

Score analysis

USA Women 67.46%
Draw 19.07%
Japan Women 13.46%
USA Women
2-0 @ 11.54% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 10.68% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.77% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 8.31% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 7.03% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 4.49% (-0.18)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.94% (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 67.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.05% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 4.95% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.13% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 19.07%
Japan Women
0-1 @ 4.19% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 3.83% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 1.77% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.17% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.08% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 13.46%

Head to Head

Olympics Women's Football
Aug 3, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
ET
  • Emily Sonnett 57' yellowcard
  • Trinity Rodman 105'+2' goal
SheBelieves Cup
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Jaedyn Shaw 21' goal
  • Lindsey Horan 77' goal
  • goal Kiko Seike 1'
  • yellowcard Moeka Minami 29'
  • yellowcard Riko Ueki 45'+1'
SheBelieves Cup
Feb 19, 2023 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mallory Pugh 45' goal
SheBelieves Cup
Mar 12, 2020 12.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Megan Rapinoe 7' goal
  • Christen Press 26' goal
  • Tobin Heath 50' yellowcard
  • Lindsey Horan 83' goal
  • yellowcard Mina Tanaka 5'
  • goal Mana Iwabuchi 58'
  • yellowcard Riko Ueki 90'
Women's World Cup
Jul 6, 2015 12.00am
5
2
HT : 4 1
FT BC Place Stadium, Vancouver
  • Carli Lloyd 3' goal
  • Carli Lloyd 5' goal
  • Lauren Holiday 14' goal
  • Carli Lloyd 16' goal
  • Tobin Heath 54' goal
  • goal Yuki Ogimi 27'
  • goal Julie Johnston 52' (OG)
  • yellowcard Homare Sawa 82'
  • yellowcard Mana Iwabuchi 85'