SheBelieves Cup
Feb 20, 2025 10.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Mina Tanaka 6' goal
  • Mina Tanaka 32' goal
  • Maika Hamano 52' goal
  • Moeka Minami 75' goal

Japan Women vs Australia Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

All competitions

Australia Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 10.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result

Japan Women 73.57% (+5.58)
Draw 16.28% (-3.06)
Australia Women 10.14% (-2.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.32% (+2.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.95% (+7.19)
Under 2.5 38.05% (-7.19)
Over 3.5 39.69% (+7.27)
Under 3.5 60.31% (-7.27)
Over 4.5 21.89% (+5.52)
Under 4.5 78.11% (-5.52)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5 91.08% (+3.37)
Under 0.5 8.91% (-3.37)
Over 1.5 69.54% (+7.57)
Under 1.5 30.46% (-7.57)

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5 54.15% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 45.85% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 18.4% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 81.6% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Japan Women 73.57%
Draw 16.28%
Australia Women 10.14%
Japan Women
2-0 @ 11.94% (-0.50)
1-0 @ 9.88% (-1.98)
3-0 @ 9.63% (+0.93)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.33)
3-1 @ 7.51% (+0.77)
4-0 @ 5.82% (+1.26)
4-1 @ 4.54% (+1.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (+0.32)
5-0 @ 2.81% (+0.91)
5-1 @ 2.19% (+0.71)
4-2 @ 1.77% (+0.40)
6-0 @ 1.13% (-65.77)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 73.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.71% (-1.49)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-1.57)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 16.28%
Australia Women
0-1 @ 3.19% (-1.20)
1-2 @ 3% (-0.56)
0-2 @ 1.24% (-0.46)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 10.14%

Head to Head

Women's World Cup
Jun 27, 2015 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Azusa Iwashimizu 27'
  • goal Mana Iwabuchi 87'