SheBelieves Cup | Group Stage

Feb 20, 2025 at 10pm UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Japan Women
4 - 0
Australia Women

Tanaka (6', 32'), Hamano (52'), Minami (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Group Stage clash between Japan Women and Australia Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

All competitions

Last Game: USA Women 1-0 Japan Women
Saturday, August 3 at 2pm in Olympics Women's Football

Current Group Stage Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	0	0	0
2	USA Women	0	0	0
3	Australia Women	0	0	0
4	Colombia Women	0	0	0

Australia Women

All competitions

Last Game: Australia Women 1-2 USA Women
Wednesday, July 31 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Current Group Stage Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	0	0	0
2	USA Women	0	0	0
3	Australia Women	0	0	0
4	Colombia Women	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 10.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Japan Women	Draw	Australia Women
73.57% ( 5.58)	16.28% ( -3.05)	10.14% ( -2.52)

Both teams to score 49.32% (

2.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.95% (

7.19)

38.05% (

-7.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.69% (

7.26)

60.31% (

-7.26)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.08% (

3.36)

8.91% (

-3.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.54% (

7.56)

30.46% (

-7.56)

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.15% (

0.22)

45.85% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.4% (

0.17)

81.6% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Japan Women 73.57%

Australia Women 10.14%

Draw 16.28%

Japan Women	Draw	Australia Women
2-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.5) 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -1.98) 3-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.93) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.76) 4-0 @ 5.82% ( 1.26) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( 1) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.31) 5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.9) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.71) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.4) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.46) Other @ 4.12% Total : 73.57%	1-1 @ 7.71% ( -1.49) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( -1.57) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.86% Total : 16.28%	0-1 @ 3.19% ( -1.2) 1-2 @ 3% ( -0.56) 0-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.14%