Olympic Games Women's Football
Jul 28, 2024 6.00pm
6
5
HT : 2 4
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Alanna Kennedy 7' goal
  • Hayley Raso 35' goal
  • Ngambo Musole 58' goal
  • Steph Catley 65' goal
  • Steph Catley 77' goal
  • Alanna Kennedy 87' yellowcard
  • Michelle Heyman 90' goal
  • goal Barbra Banda 1'
  • goal Racheal Kundanaji 21'
  • goal Barbra Banda 33'
  • goal Barbra Banda 45'+1'
  • goal Racheal Kundanaji 56'
  • yellowcard Esther Muchinga 77'

Australia Women vs Zambia Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 6.00pm
Germany Women 3 - 0 Australia Women

Zambia Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 8.00pm
USA Women 3 - 0 Zambia Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia Women win with a probability of 76.6%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Zambia Women had a probability of 8.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.27%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Zambia Women win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia Women would win this match.

Result

Australia Women 76.6% (-0.03)
Draw 14.79% (+0.01)
Zambia Women 8.61% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.42% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.15% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 35.85% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 42.07% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 57.93% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 23.83% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 76.17% (-0.04)

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5 92.27% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 7.72% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 72.49% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 27.5% (-0.01)

Zambia Women Goals

Over 0.5 52.48% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 47.52% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 17.12% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 82.88% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Australia Women 76.59%
Draw 14.79%
Zambia Women 8.61%
Australia Women
2-0 @ 12.03% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 10.27% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.95% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.64% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.58% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.89% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 76.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.99% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 14.79%
Zambia Women
0-1 @ 2.73%
1-2 @ 2.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 8.61%