Women's World Cup
Jul 31, 2023 11.00am
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT AAMI Park
  • goal Hayley Raso 9'
  • goal Hayley Raso 39'
  • yellowcard Tony Gustavsson 45'+5'
  • goal Mary Fowler 58'
  • yellowcard Emily van Egmond 68'
  • yellowcard Mackenzie Arnold 81'
  • goal Steph Catley 90'+4'

Canada Women vs Australia Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last game
Jul 26, 2023 1.00pm
Canada Women 2 - 1 Ireland Women

Australia Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last game
Jul 27, 2023 11.00am
Australia Women 2 - 3 Nigeria Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 82.91%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 5.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.19%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.56%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Australia Women would win this match.

Result

Canada Women 82.91% (-0.01)
Draw 11.68% (+0.05)
Australia Women 5.41% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.53% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.38% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 33.62% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 44.57% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 55.43% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 25.93% (-0.43)
Under 4.5 74.07% (+0.43)

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5 94.02% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 5.98% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 77.17% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 22.83% (+0.25)

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5 45.23% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 54.77% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 12.26% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 87.74% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Canada Women 82.9%
Draw 11.68%
Australia Women 5.41%
Canada Women
2-0 @ 12.99% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 12.19% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 9.23% (+0.17)
4-0 @ 8.59% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.35% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 5.17% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 4.84% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.91% (-0.05)
6-0 @ 2.27% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.37% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 82.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.56% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.28% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 2.36% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 11.68%
Australia Women
0-1 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 5.41%