Olympic Games Women's Football
Jul 31, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Tony Gustavsson 4' yellowcard
  • Alanna Kennedy 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Coffey 4'
  • goal Trinity Rodman 43'
  • yellowcard Korbin Albert 67'
  • goal Korbin Albert 77'

Australia Women vs USA Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 28, 2024 6.00pm
Australia Women 6 - 5 Zambia Women

USA Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 28, 2024 8.00pm
USA Women 4 - 1 Germany Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Australia Women had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Australia Women win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for USA Women in this match.

Result

Australia Women 37.54% (+3.60)
Draw 23.96% (-1.35)
USA Women 38.49% (-2.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.62% (+5.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.32% (+6.79)
Under 2.5 40.67% (-6.79)
Over 3.5 36.94% (+6.62)
Under 3.5 63.05% (-6.62)
Over 4.5 19.74% (+4.84)
Under 4.5 80.26% (-4.84)

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5 78.26% (+5.13)
Under 0.5 21.73% (-5.13)
Over 1.5 45.09% (+7.26)
Under 1.5 54.9% (-7.27)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5 78.73% (+1.87)
Under 0.5 21.27% (-1.87)
Over 1.5 45.81% (+2.81)
Under 1.5 54.19% (-2.81)

Score analysis

Australia Women 37.54%
Draw 23.96%
USA Women 38.49%
Australia Women
2-1 @ 8.33% (+0.48)
1-0 @ 7.05% (-1.12)
2-0 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.80)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.77)
3-0 @ 2.74% (+0.39)
4-1 @ 1.62% (+0.49)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-81.65)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-76.26)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% (-1.03)
2-2 @ 6.45% (+0.70)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-1.60)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.47)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.96%
USA Women
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.30)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-1.94)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-1.13)
1-3 @ 4.36% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.33% (+0.53)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.40)
1-4 @ 1.69% (+0.13)
2-4 @ 1.29% (+0.26)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 38.49%

Head to Head

Olympic Games Women's Football
Aug 5, 2021 9.00am
3
4
HT : 1 3
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
  • Samantha Kerr 17' goal
  • Caitlin Foord 54' goal
  • Emily Gielnik 90' goal
  • goal Megan Rapinoe 8'
  • goal Megan Rapinoe 21'
  • goal Carli Lloyd 45'+1'
  • goal Carli Lloyd 51'
Olympic Games Women's Football
Jul 27, 2021 9.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
  • Megan Rapinoe 38' yellowcard
  • Rose Lavelle 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyra Cooney-Cross 69'
Women's World Cup
Jun 9, 2015 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Megan Rapinoe 12' goal
  • Lauren Holiday 56' yellowcard
  • Christen Press 61' goal
  • Megan Rapinoe 64' yellowcard
  • Megan Rapinoe 78' goal
  • goal Lisa De Vanna 27'