USA Women
2 - 2
Canada Women

Smith (50', 50', 68', 68')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Leon (40', 40', 86' pen., 86' pen.)
Fleming (23'), Fleming (23')

USA Women win 5-4 on penalties

Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Final clash between USA Women and Canada Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions

SheBelieves Cup

Last Game: USA Women 2-1 Japan Women
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in SheBelieves Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands Women	3	8	7
2	USA Women	3	3	5
3	Portugal Women	3	1	4
4	Vietnam Women	3	-12	0

Canada Women

All competitions

SheBelieves Cup

Last Game: Canada Women 1-1 Brazil Women (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, April 6 at 8.30pm in SheBelieves Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia Women	3	4	6
2	Nigeria Women	3	1	5
3	Canada Women	3	-3	4
4	Ireland Women	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Canada Women had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Canada Women win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%).

Result
USA Women	Draw	Canada Women
46.65%	25.84%	27.51%

Both teams to score 51.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.67%

52.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.98%

74.02%

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58%

22.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06%

55.94%

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22%

33.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56%

70.44%

Score Analysis

USA Women 46.64%

Canada Women 27.51%

Draw 25.83%

USA Women	Draw	Canada Women
1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.19% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.16% Total : 46.64%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 1% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.51%