SheBelieves Cup | Semi-Finals

Apr 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Canada Women
1 - 1
Brazil Women

Gilles (77')

FT
(aet)

Tarciane (22' pen.)

Canada Women win 0-0 on penalties

Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Semi-Finals clash between Canada Women and Brazil Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada Women

All competitions

Last Game: Canada Women 0-4 Australia Women
Monday, July 31 at 11am in Women's World Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia Women	3	4	6
2	Nigeria Women	3	1	5
3	Canada Women	3	-3	4
4	Ireland Women	3	-2	1

Brazil Women

All competitions

Last Game: Jamaica Women 0-0 Brazil Women
Wednesday, August 2 at 11am in Women's World Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Women	3	4	7
2	Jamaica Women	3	1	5
3	Brazil Women	3	3	4
4	Panama Women	3	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Brazil Women had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Brazil Women win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Canada Women	Draw	Brazil Women
53.76% ( -1.11)	25.45% ( 0.54)	20.79% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 45.74% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.72% (

-1.37)

56.28% (

1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.69% (

-1.12)

77.31% (

1.12)

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

-0.99)

20.97% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.27% (

-1.57)

53.73% (

1.57)

Brazil Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.88% (

-0.18)

42.12% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.46% (

-0.16)

78.54% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Canada Women 53.74%

Brazil Women 20.8%

Draw 25.44%

Canada Women	Draw	Brazil Women
1-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.74%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.1% Total : 20.8%