Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 80.87%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Brazil Women had a probability of 6.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Brazil Women win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.