Olympic Games Women's Football
Jul 28, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Sophia Smith 10' goal
  • Sam Coffey 22' yellowcard
  • Mallory Pugh 26' goal
  • Sophia Smith 44' goal
  • Lynn Williams 89' goal
  • yellowcard Kathrin-Julia Hendrich 18'
  • goal Giulia Gwinn 22'

USA Women vs Germany Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 8.00pm
USA Women 3 - 0 Zambia Women

Germany Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 6.00pm
Germany Women 3 - 0 Australia Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Germany Women had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Germany Women win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result

USA Women 56.04% (-0.01)
Draw 23.63% (+0.01)
Germany Women 20.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.27% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.09% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 49.91% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.1% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 71.9% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.38% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.62% (+0.01)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5 82.36% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.64% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 51.75% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 48.25% (+0.01)

Germany Women Goals

Over 0.5 61.04% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.96% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.31%
Under 1.5 75.69%

Score analysis

USA Women 56.03%
Draw 23.63%
Germany Women 20.33%
USA Women
1-0 @ 11.92%
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 56.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.63%
Germany Women
0-1 @ 6.48%
1-2 @ 5.3%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 20.33%

Head to Head

Women's World Cup
Jul 1, 2015 12.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Becky Sauerbrunn 37' yellowcard
  • Julie Johnston 59' yellowcard
  • Carli Lloyd 69' goal
  • Kelley O'Hara 84' goal
  • yellowcard Leonie Maier 34'
  • yellowcard Annike Krahn 67'
Women's World Cup
Jun 1, 2015 12.00am