Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Women win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 12.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Japan Women win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.