Olympic Games Women's Football
Jul 31, 2024 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Maika Hamano 22' goal
  • Mina Tanaka 32' goal
  • Hikaru Kitagawa 45'+5' goal
  • goal Onyi Echegini 42'
  • yellowcard Blessing Demehin 45'+4'

Japan Women vs Nigeria Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 28, 2024 4.00pm
Brazil Women 1 - 2 Japan Women

Nigeria Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 28, 2024 6.00pm
Spain Women 1 - 0 Nigeria Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 87.32%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 4.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 4-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.04%), while for a Nigeria Women win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result

Japan Women 87.32% (+7.00)
Draw 8.68% (-4.06)
Nigeria Women 4.01% (-2.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.93% (-2.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 75.86% (+7.62)
Under 2.5 24.13% (-7.61)
Over 3.5 56.22% (+9.49)
Under 3.5 43.78% (-9.49)
Over 4.5 36.69% (+8.89)
Under 4.5 63.31% (-8.88)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5 96.42% (+2.53)
Under 0.5 3.58% (-2.53)
Over 1.5 84.51% (+7.67)
Under 1.5 15.49% (-7.67)

Nigeria Women Goals

Over 0.5 47.63% (-3.75)
Under 0.5 52.37% (+3.75)
Over 1.5 13.76% (-2.56)
Under 1.5 86.24% (+2.57)

Score analysis

Japan Women 87.31%
Draw 8.68%
Nigeria Women 4.01%
Japan Women
3-0 @ 11.53% (+0.72)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-1.21)
4-0 @ 9.61% (+2.05)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 6.72% (-1.65)
5-0 @ 6.4% (+2.17)
1-0 @ 6.24% (-2.06)
4-1 @ 6.21% (+0.76)
5-1 @ 4.14% (+1.09)
6-0 @ 3.55% (+1.58)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.40)
6-1 @ 2.3% (+0.88)
4-2 @ 2.01% (+0.05)
7-0 @ 1.69% (-77.21)
5-2 @ 1.34% (+0.24)
7-1 @ 1.09% (-55.81)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 87.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.04% (-1.95)
2-2 @ 2.17% (-0.85)
0-0 @ 1.87% (-1.10)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 8.68%
Nigeria Women
1-2 @ 1.31% (-0.86)
0-1 @ 1.21% (-0.93)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 4.01%