Olympic Games Women's Football
Jul 28, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • 53' goal
  • Salma Paralluelo 53' goal
  • Alexia Putellas 85' goal
  • yellowcard Asisat Oshoala 37'

Spain Women vs Nigeria Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 4.00pm
Spain Women 2 - 1 Japan Women

Nigeria Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 6.00pm
Nigeria Women 0 - 1 Brazil Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 82.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 5.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.43%) and 1-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Nigeria Women win it was 0-1 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.

Result

Spain Women 82.26% (+0.01)
Draw 12.24% (+0.01)
Nigeria Women 5.5% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.81% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.86% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 36.14% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 41.75% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 58.25% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 23.56% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 76.44% (+0.08)

Spain Women Goals

Over 0.5 93.38% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 6.62% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 75.41% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.59% (+0.05)

Nigeria Women Goals

Over 0.5 43.7% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 56.3% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 11.36% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 88.64% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Spain Women 82.24%
Draw 12.24%
Nigeria Women 5.5%
Spain Women
2-0 @ 13.73% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 12.43% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 10.11% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 8.44% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.63% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 82.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.73% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 12.24%
Nigeria Women
0-1 @ 2.14% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 5.5%