Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 80.04%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Colombia Women had a probability of 6.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.86%) and 1-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Colombia Women win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for USA Women in this match.