SheBelieves Cup | Group Stage

Feb 21, 2025 at 1am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

USA Women
2 - 0
Colombia Women

Macario (33', 33'), Sentnor (60', 60')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Arias (58'), Arias (58'), Chacon (88'), Chacon (88'), Reyes (90+1'), Reyes (90+1')

Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Group Stage clash between USA Women and Colombia Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions

Last Game: Brazil Women 0-1 USA Women
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Current Group Stage Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	0	0	0
2	USA Women	0	0	0
3	Australia Women	0	0	0
4	Colombia Women	0	0	0

Colombia Women

All competitions

Last Game: Spain Women 2-2 Colombia Women (4-2 pen.)
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Olympics Women's Football

Current Group Stage Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	0	0	0
2	USA Women	0	0	0
3	Australia Women	0	0	0
4	Colombia Women	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 80.04%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Colombia Women had a probability of 6.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.86%) and 1-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Colombia Women win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for USA Women in this match.

Result
USA Women	Draw	Colombia Women
80.04% ( 0.07)	13.49% ( 0.03)	6.47% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 42.03% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.99% (

-0.6)

38.01% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.73% (

-0.64)

60.27% (

0.64)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.52% (

-0.12)

7.48% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.13% (

-0.3)

26.86% (

0.3)

Colombia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.43% (

-0.72)

54.57% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.38% (

-0.44)

87.62% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

USA Women 80.03%

Colombia Women 6.47%

Draw 13.49%

USA Women	Draw	Colombia Women
2-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 80.03%	1-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.49% Total : 13.49%	0-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 6.47%