SheBelieves Cup
Feb 23, 2025 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT University of Phoenix Stadium
  • Linda Caicedo 45'+4' goal
  • Luisa Fernanda Agudelo Moreno 78' yellowcard
  • goal Momoko Tanikawa 1'
  • goal Mina Tanaka 8'
  • goal Maika Hamano 57'
  • goal Mina Tanaka 80'

Colombia Women vs Japan Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last game
Feb 21, 2025 1.00am
USA Women 2 - 0 Colombia Women

Japan Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last game
Feb 20, 2025 10.00pm
Japan Women 4 - 0 Australia Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Colombia Women had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Colombia Women win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result

Colombia Women 25.68% (-0.37)
Draw 27.69% (-0.43)
Japan Women 46.63% (+0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.8% (+0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.86% (+1.19)
Under 2.5 60.14% (-1.19)
Over 3.5 19.65% (+0.90)
Under 3.5 80.34% (-0.90)
Over 4.5 8.14% (+0.51)
Under 4.5 91.86% (-0.51)

Colombia Women Goals

Over 0.5 60.42% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 39.57% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 23.74% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 76.26% (-0.32)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5 74.15% (+0.95)
Under 0.5 25.85% (-0.95)
Over 1.5 39.18% (+1.26)
Under 1.5 60.82% (-1.26)

Score analysis

Colombia Women 25.68%
Draw 27.68%
Japan Women 46.63%
Colombia Women
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.4% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 1.84% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.36% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.24% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 25.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 10.23% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 4.02% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.68%
Japan Women
0-1 @ 13.84% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 9.36% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.68% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 4.22% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.91% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 1.81% (+0.10)
0-4 @ 1.43% (+0.09)
1-4 @ 1.32% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 46.63%