SheBelieves Cup | Group Stage
Feb 23, 2025 at 7pm UK
University of Phoenix Stadium
Japan national football team

Colombia Women
1 - 4
Japan Women

Caicedo (45+4')
Fernanda Agudelo Moreno (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tanikawa (1'), Tanaka (8', 80' pen.), Hamano (57')
Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Group Stage clash between Colombia Women and Japan Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: USA Women 2-0 Colombia Women
Friday, February 21 at 1am in SheBelieves Cup

Japan Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: Japan Women 4-0 Australia Women
Thursday, February 20 at 10pm in SheBelieves Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Colombia Women had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Colombia Women win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Colombia WomenDrawJapan Women
25.68% (-0.364 -0.36)27.69% (-0.422 -0.42)46.63% (0.789 0.79)
Both teams to score 44.8% (0.823 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.86% (1.186 1.19)60.14% (-1.184 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.65% (0.893 0.89)80.34% (-0.89 -0.89)
Colombia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.42% (0.346 0.35)39.57% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.74% (0.319 0.32)76.26% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (0.94199999999999 0.94)25.85% (-0.941 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (1.258 1.26)60.82% (-1.256 -1.26)
Score Analysis
    Colombia Women 25.68%
    Japan Women 46.63%
    Draw 27.68%
Colombia WomenDrawJapan Women
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-1 @ 5.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.4% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.84% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 25.68%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 10.23% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 13.84% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.159 0.16)
0-3 @ 4.22% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.173 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.087 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 46.63%