SheBelieves Cup | Group Stage

Feb 23, 2025 at 10pm UK

University of Phoenix Stadium

USA Women
2 - 1
Australia Women

Williams (1'), Cooper (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Heyman (80')
Grant (73')

Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Group Stage clash between USA Women and Australia Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions

SheBelieves Cup

Last Game: USA Women 2-0 Colombia Women
Friday, February 21 at 1am in SheBelieves Cup

Current Group Stage Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	1	4	3
2	USA Women	1	2	3
3	Colombia Women	1	-2	0
4	Australia Women	1	-4	0

Australia Women

All competitions

SheBelieves Cup

Last Game: Japan Women 4-0 Australia Women
Thursday, February 20 at 10pm in SheBelieves Cup

Current Group Stage Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	1	4	3
2	USA Women	1	2	3
3	Colombia Women	1	-2	0
4	Australia Women	1	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 78.54%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 7.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.01%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result
USA Women	Draw	Australia Women
78.54% ( 6.19)	13.99% ( -3.06)	7.47% ( -3.13)

Both teams to score 45.73% (

-2.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.72% (

4.11)

36.28% (

-4.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.59% (

4.36)

58.41% (

-4.36)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.59% (

2.39)

7.41% (

-2.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.3% (

5.86)

26.7% (

-5.86)

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.39% (

-4.05)

50.61% (

4.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.92% (

-2.92)

85.08% (

2.92)

Score Analysis

USA Women 78.53%

Australia Women 7.47%

Draw 13.99%

USA Women	Draw	Australia Women
2-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.38) 3-0 @ 11.01% ( 1.48) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.83) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.76) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 7.17% ( 1.63) 4-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.65) 5-0 @ 3.73% ( 1.16) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.57) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.62) 6-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.34) Other @ 3.67% Total : 78.53%	1-1 @ 6.65% ( -1.45) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.81) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.65) Other @ 0.65% Total : 13.99%	0-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.93) 1-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.83) Other @ 2.65% Total : 7.47%