SheBelieves Cup
USA Women
Feb 23, 2025 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT University of Phoenix Stadium
Australia Women
  • Lynn Williams 1' goal
  • Michelle Cooper 68' goal
  • yellowcard Charlotte Grant 73'
  • goal Michelle Heyman 80'

USA Women vs Australia Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last game
Feb 21, 2025 1.00am
USA Women 2 - 0 Colombia Women

Australia Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last game
Feb 20, 2025 10.00pm
Japan Women 4 - 0 Australia Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 78.54%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 7.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.01%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result

USA Women 78.54% ▲ (+6.19)
Draw 13.99% ▼ (-3.07)
Australia Women 7.47% ▼ (-3.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.73% ▼ (-2.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.72% ▲ (+4.11)
Under 2.5 36.28% ▼ (-4.11)
Over 3.5 41.59% ▲ (+4.37)
Under 3.5 58.41% ▼ (-4.37)
Over 4.5 23.43% ▲ (+3.48)
Under 4.5 76.57% ▼ (-3.48)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5 92.59% ▲ (+2.39)
Under 0.5 7.41% ▼ (-2.39)
Over 1.5 73.3% ▲ (+5.87)
Under 1.5 26.7% ▼ (-5.87)

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5 49.39% ▼ (-4.05)
Under 0.5 50.61% ▲ (+4.05)
Over 1.5 14.92% ▼ (-2.93)
Under 1.5 85.08% ▲ (+2.93)

Score analysis

USA Women 78.53%
Draw 13.99%
Australia Women 7.47%
USA Women
2-0 @ 12.69% ▲ (+0.38)
3-0 @ 11.01% ▲ (+1.48)
1-0 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.83)
2-1 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.77)
3-1 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.22)
4-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+1.63)
4-1 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.65)
5-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+1.16)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.23)
5-1 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.58)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.05)
6-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-97.99)
6-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-75.00)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 78.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.65% ▼ (-1.46)
0-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.82)
2-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.66)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 13.99%
Australia Women
0-1 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.94)
1-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.84)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 7.47%

Head to Head

Olympic Games Women's Football
Australia Women
Jul 31, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Velodrome
USA Women
  • Tony Gustavsson 4' yellowcard
  • Alanna Kennedy 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Coffey 4'
  • goal Trinity Rodman 43'
  • yellowcard Korbin Albert 67'
  • goal Korbin Albert 77'
Olympic Games Women's Football
Australia Women
Aug 5, 2021 9.00am
3
4
HT : 1 3
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
USA Women
  • Samantha Kerr 17' goal
  • Caitlin Foord 54' goal
  • Emily Gielnik 90' goal
  • goal Megan Rapinoe 8'
  • goal Megan Rapinoe 21'
  • goal Carli Lloyd 45'+1'
  • goal Carli Lloyd 51'
Olympic Games Women's Football
USA Women
Jul 27, 2021 9.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
Australia Women
  • Megan Rapinoe 38' yellowcard
  • Rose Lavelle 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyra Cooney-Cross 69'
Women's World Cup
USA Women
Jun 9, 2015 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Australia Women
  • Megan Rapinoe 12' goal
  • Lauren Holiday 56' yellowcard
  • Christen Press 61' goal
  • Megan Rapinoe 64' yellowcard
  • Megan Rapinoe 78' goal
  • goal Lisa De Vanna 27'

Form Data

USA Women 2 - 0 Colombia Women
Brazil Women 0 - 1 USA Women
USA Women 1 - 0 Germany Women
USA Women 1 - 0 Japan Women
Australia Women 1 - 2 USA Women
USA Women 4 - 1 Germany Women
Japan Women 4 - 0 Australia Women
Australia Women 1 - 2 USA Women
Australia Women 6 - 5 Zambia Women
Germany Women 3 - 0 Australia Women
Sweden Women 2 - 0 Australia Women
Australia Women 1 - 3 England Women