Australia national football team
SheBelieves Cup | Group Stage
Feb 27, 2025 at 12.30am UK
 

Australia Women
1 - 2
Colombia Women

Raso (69', 69')
Raso (38'), Raso (38'), Hunt (65'), Hunt (65'), Gorry (82'), Gorry (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bonila (15', 15'), Usme (73', 73')
Chacon (90+8'), Chacon (90+8')
Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Group Stage clash between Australia Women and Colombia Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: USA Women 2-1 Australia Women
Sunday, February 23 at 10pm in SheBelieves Cup

Colombia Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: Colombia Women 1-4 Japan Women
Sunday, February 23 at 7pm in SheBelieves Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia Women win with a probability of 73.56%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Colombia Women had a probability of 11.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 3-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Colombia Women win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Australia WomenDrawColombia Women
73.56% (0.32300000000001 0.32)15.3% (0.054 0.05)11.13% (-0.383 -0.38)
Both teams to score 57.38% (-1.76 -1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.14% (-1.483 -1.48)29.85% (1.477 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.98% (-1.81 -1.81)51.01% (1.805 1.81)
Australia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.03% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)6.96% (0.2771 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.48% (-0.75 -0.75)25.51% (0.745 0.75)
Colombia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-1.704 -1.7)38.32% (1.698 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-1.672 -1.67)75.08% (1.667 1.67)
Score Analysis
    Australia Women 73.56%
    Colombia Women 11.13%
    Draw 15.3%
Australia WomenDrawColombia Women
2-0 @ 9.47% (0.513 0.51)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.41% (0.334 0.33)
3-1 @ 8.07% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.11% (0.486 0.49)
4-0 @ 5.61% (0.141 0.14)
4-1 @ 5.38% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.206 -0.21)
5-0 @ 2.99% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.87% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.58% (-0.179 -0.18)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.118 -0.12)
6-0 @ 1.33% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.27% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 73.56%
1-1 @ 6.82% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.22 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 15.3%
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-1 @ 2.56% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 11.13%