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Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 34
Jul 6, 2020 at 9pm UK
Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Eibar logo
Sevilla
1 - 0
Eibar
Ocampos (56')
Gomez (14'), Banega (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Oliveros (37')

Preview: Sevilla vs. Eibar - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Eibar, including team news and predicted lineups.

Sevilla will be looking to boost their chances of claiming a top-four finish in La Liga when they welcome struggling Eibar to the Estadio Ramon on Monday night.

Julen Lopetegui's side are currently fourth in the table, five points behind third-placed Atletico Madrid, while Eibar occupy 16th spot in the division, six points clear of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Sevilla's Fernando celebrates scoring their second goal against Real Betis on June 11, 2020© Reuters

Sevilla ended a run of four straight draws in La Liga on Tuesday night when they recorded an impressive 3-0 victory at Leganes. The top-four hopefuls have not lost in the league since the start of February but too many draws had threatened to see them drop out of the Champions League positions.

As it stands, Lopetegui's side are fourth in the table, three points clear of fifth-placed Villarreal; they are just five points off third-placed Atletico with a game in hand, meanwhile, and will certainly be looking to stay on Diego Simeone's side's tail approaching the end of the campaign.

Sevilla have only claimed a top-four spot on one occasion since the 2009-10 season, which is somewhat of a surprise considering their quality and European pedigree.

Los Nervionenses have finished seventh and sixth in their last two campaigns at this level and are by no means guaranteed a Champions League finish this term as they have some tough games against Athletic Bilbao, Real Sociedad and Valencia before the end of the season.

Sevilla have only lost two of their 16 home league games this season, although they have shared the points on seven occasions, which will hand Eibar confidence ahead of Monday's clash.

Eibar's Pablo De Blasis celebrates scoring against Barcelona in La Liga on May 19, 2019© Reuters

Eibar, though, have only picked up two wins from their 16 away league games this season, and it is difficult to imagine them collecting all three points at the Estadio Ramon.

Los Armeros have finished 10th, ninth and 12th in their last three campaigns at this level, but there is no question that it has been a tougher season this time around.

Indeed, a record of nine wins, eight draws and 16 defeats from 33 matches has left them in 16th position in the table, six points clear of the relegation zone.

They are still in a relatively strong position when it comes to avoiding the drop but another defeat this weekend could leave them vulnerable.

Eibar have won two of their last three league matches, though, beating Valencia and Granada between June 25 and June 28 before suffering a 2-0 loss at home to Osasuna on Thursday night.

Sevilla La Liga form: WDDDDW

Eibar La Liga form: LDDWWL


Team News

Sevilla's Jules Kounde pictured in action in November 2019© Reuters

Sevilla will be without the services of Jules Kounde due to the yellow card that the central defender picked up in the 3-0 win over Leganes on Tuesday night, meaning that Sergi Gomez should come into the XI.

Ever Banega, Fernando and Munir El-Haddadi should also all return to the starting side, while Luuk de Jong is likely to replace Youssef En-Nesyri at the top end of the field.

Lucas Ocampos has been Sevilla's standout player this season with 14 goals, and the Argentina international will again feature in a wide area.

As for Eibar, Gonzalo Escalante and Ivan Ramis are both on the sidelines, but the Basque side did not pick up any fresh injury concerns in the defeat to Osasuna last time out.

Sergi Enrich came off the bench on Thursday night and could now earn a spot in the starting XI, while Papa Diop is also an option for change in the middle of the park.

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Vaclik; Navas, Gomez, Carlos, Escudero; Banega, Fernando, Jordan; Munir, De Jong, Ocampos

Eibar possible starting lineup:
Dmitrovic; Correa, Oliveira, Bigas, Cote; Leon, Cristoforo, Esposito, De Blasis; Enrich, Charles


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Sevilla 2-0 Eibar

Sevilla are in need of a win as they look to secure a spot in the top four, and it is tough to imagine Eibar preventing them from collecting all three points. The visitors are certainly capable of making it an uncomfortable game for Lopetegui's side, but we fancy the hosts to record a 2-0 win.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.


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Sevilla manager Julen Lopetegui pictured in February 2020
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid29226164204472
2Barcelona29197360342664
3GironaGirona29195559342562
4Athletic Bilbao29168550262456
5Atletico MadridAtletico29174854342055
6Real Sociedad291210742311146
7Real BetisBetis29101273433142
8Valencia28117103232040
9Villarreal29108114751-438
10Getafe2991193742-538
11Las PalmasLas Palmas29107122932-337
12Osasuna29106133343-1036
13AlavesAlaves2988132635-932
14Mallorca29612112535-1030
15Rayo Vallecano29611122538-1329
16Sevilla29610133644-828
17Celta Vigo2969143244-1227
18CadizCadiz29313132040-2022
19Granada2828183058-2814
20Almeria29110182857-2913

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