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Osauna logo
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
El Sadar
Sevilla logo

Osasuna
0 - 2
Sevilla


Vidal (76'), Torro (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carlos (19'), de Jong (49')
El Haddadi (67'), Jordan (83')

Preview: Osasuna vs. Sevilla - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sevilla will be looking to make it six La Liga victories in a row when they continue their domestic campaign away to Osasuna on Monday night.

Julen Lopetegui's side are currently fourth in the table, one point behind third-placed Barcelona, while Osasuna have risen to 12th position courtesy of back-to-back victories in Spain's top flight.


Match preview

Osasuna goalkeeper Sergio Herrera in action against Real Madrid on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Osasuna are certainly not safe from the threat of relegation, but two wins from their last two matches against Eibar and Levante has seen them rise into 12th position, now four points clear of the bottom three.

Jagoba Arrasate's side have actually taken nine points from the last 12 available in the league, while they have lost just one of their last five during a strong run of form, which has been even more important considering that two of their next three matches are against Sevilla and Barca.

Osasuna finished 10th in La Liga last season and are actually only three points off 10th-placed Athletic Bilbao at this stage, which is an indication of how quickly things can change considering their struggles earlier this term.

Los Rojillos have won four, drawn three and lost four of their 11 league matches on home soil this season, which is a relatively solid record, but they have lost six of their last seven games against Sevilla at this level.

Sevilla's Jules Kounde celebrates scoring against Barcelona in the Copa del Rey on February 10, 2021© Reuters

Sevilla, as mentioned, have won each of their last five in Spain's top flight, overcoming Alaves, Cadiz, Eibar, Getafe and Huesca during an impressive run of form.

The Europa League holders have lost just one of their last 12 in La Liga, meanwhile, and currently sit secure in the top four, seven points clear of fifth-placed Real Sociedad with a game in hand.

Lopetegui's side will be looking up the division rather than down as they are only one point behind third-placed Barca and just four behind Real Madrid in second, and Los Blancos have played a game more.

Sevilla have also put themselves in a strong position to reach the final of the Copa del Rey as they recorded a 2-0 win over Barca in the first leg of their semi-final contest earlier this month.

The Spanish giants have work to do in the Champions League, though, having suffered a 3-2 home defeat to Borussia Dortmund in the first leg of their last-16 tie on Wednesday night.

Osasuna La Liga form: LDWLWW
Osasuna form (all competitions): DWLLWW

Sevilla La Liga form: LWWWWW
Sevilla form (all competitions): WWWWWL


Team News

Sevilla players celebrate Lucas Ocampos's goal against Wolverhampton Wanderers on August 11, 2020© Reuters

Osasuna will again be without the services of Facundo Roncaglia, Chimy Avila, Jony and Ruben Martinez through injury, while Darko Brasanac and Juan Cruz remain doubts for Monday's contest.

Ante Budimir came off the bench to score the winner against Levante last weekend, and there could now be a start for the striker alongside Jonathan Calleri as part of a front two.

Arrasate is expected to keep with the majority of the side that started last time out, though, meaning that Lucas Torro should again get the nod over Oier alongside Jon Moncayola in midfield.

As for Sevilla, Marcos Acuna and Lucas Ocampos will again be absent through injury, but Jesus Navas returned from an issue of his own against Dortmund and should be fit to start here.

Lopetegui is expected to make changes from the side that featured in the Champions League, with Munir El Haddadi, Nemanja Gudelj and Oliver Torres all in line for starts.

Luuk de Jong was on the scoresheet in the defeat to BVB during the week, but Youssef En-Nesyri, who has scored 13 league goals this season, should retain his spot at the tip of the attack.

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Vidal, Hernandez, D Garcia, Sanchez; Torres, Moncayola, Torro, R Garcia; Budimir, Calleri

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Bounou; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Escudero; Torres, Gudelj, Jordan; Suso, En-Nesyri, Munir


SM words green background

We say: Osasuna 1-1 Sevilla

Osasuna will enter Monday's match full of confidence following back-to-back wins, and they will be looking to take advantage of a potential Champions League hangover for Sevilla; we are expecting a tight match in Pamplona and believe that the hosts will have enough to hold Lopetegui's side to a low-scoring draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:436045:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9428:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 15.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.06%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Osasuna vs Sevilla

Osasuna
12.7%
Draw
16.8%
Sevilla
70.6%
197
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Sevilla defender Jules Kounde in Europa League action on August 21, 2020
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1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid17114237162137
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
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