Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2026 7.45pm
U-Power Stadium

Monza vs Sassuolo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 2.00pm
Lecce 3 - 2 Monza
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Gustavo Varela

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 7.45pm
Sassuolo 3 - 2 Juventus
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Vasilije Adžić

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monza win with a probability of 46.34%. A draw has a probability of 27.14% and a win for Sassuolo has a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Sassuolo win it is 0-1 (7.09%).

Result

Monza 46.34% (-1.37)
Draw 27.14% (+0.68)
Sassuolo 26.52% (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.97% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.86% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 25.14% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 50.47% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 49.53% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 28.41% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 71.6% (+0.81)
Over 4.5 15.58% (-0.80)
Under 4.5 84.42% (+0.80)

First Half Winner

Monza 34.12% (-0.14)
Draw 43.37% (-0.18)
Sassuolo 22.51% (+0.31)

Team To Score First

Monza 53.95% (-0.30)
No Goal 7.54% (+0.05)
Sassuolo 38.51% (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 54.28% (+2.06)
Equal 8 11.82% (-0.22)
Under 8 33.9% (-1.83)
Over 9 42.56% (+2.09)
Equal 9 11.72% (-0.03)
Under 9 45.72% (-2.06)
Over 10.5 31.9% (+1.94)
Under 10.5 68.1% (-1.95)

Monza Goals

Over 1.5 45.04% (-1.06)
Under 1.5 54.96% (+1.06)
Over 2.5 19.65% (-1.13)
Under 2.5 80.35% (+1.12)
Over 3.5 7.14% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 92.86% (+0.63)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5 63.1% (+0.90)
Under 0.5 36.9% (-0.90)
Over 1.5 29.47% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 70.53% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 9.85% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 90.15% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 2.8% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.2% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Monza 46.35%
Draw 27.15%
Sassuolo 26.53%
Monza
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.26)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.15)
Other @ 6.95% (-0.65)
Total : 46.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (+0.33)
0-0 @ 7.54% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 27.15%
Sassuolo
0-1 @ 7.09% (+0.21)
1-2 @ 6.85% (+0.30)
0-2 @ 4.14% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.64% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.61% (+0.01)
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Pablo Mari 7' goal
  • Mirko Maric 67' goal
  • goal Armand Lauriente 5'
  • goal Nedim Bajrami 38'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Andrea Colpani 31' goal
  • Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 43'
  • yellowcard Marcus Holmgren Pedersen 68'
  • yellowcard Ruan 90'+7'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2023 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 66'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • Domenico Berardi 45'+6' goal
  • goal Patrick Ciurria 60'
  • goal Matteo Pessina 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 22, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Gianluca Caprari 60' goal
  • goal Gian Marco Ferrari 13'