Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Eddy Kouadio 30' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Varela 51' goal
  • Gustavo Varela 63' goal
  • Michael Folorunsho 74' yellowcard
  • Samuele Birindelli 85' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Varela 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luca Lipani 85'
  • goal Vasilije Adžić 88'

Monza vs Sassuolo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 2.00pm
Lecce 3 - 2 Monza
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Gustavo Varela

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 7.45pm
Sassuolo 3 - 2 Juventus
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Vasilije Adžić

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.82% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%) , while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Monza 46.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.82%
Sassuolo 26.46% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.89%
Under 1.5 25.11%
Over 2.5 50.62%
Under 2.5 49.38%
Over 3.5 28.66%
Under 3.5 71.34%
Over 4.5 15.79%
Under 4.5 84.21%

First Half Winner

Monza 33.34%
Draw 44.01%
Sassuolo 22.64%

Team To Score First

Monza 53.67%
No Goal 7.45%
Sassuolo 38.88%

Corners

Over 8 54.06%
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 34.1%
Over 9 42.33%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 45.94%
Over 10.5 31.68%
Under 10.5 68.32%

Monza Goals

Over 1.5 45.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 54.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5 62.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 37.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.8%
Under 3.5 97.2%

Score analysis

Monza 46.72%
Draw 26.82%
Sassuolo 26.45%
Monza
1-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75%
Other @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 46.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 5.91%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.82%
Sassuolo
0-1 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 26.45%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Pablo Mari 7' goal
  • Mirko Maric 67' goal
  • goal Armand Lauriente 5'
  • goal Nedim Bajrami 38'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Andrea Colpani 31' goal
  • Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 43'
  • yellowcard Marcus Holmgren Pedersen 68'
  • yellowcard Ruan 90'+7'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2023 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 66'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • Domenico Berardi 45'+6' goal
  • goal Patrick Ciurria 60'
  • goal Matteo Pessina 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 22, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Gianluca Caprari 60' goal
  • goal Gian Marco Ferrari 13'