Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2026 2.00pm
U-Power Stadium

Monza vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 2.00pm
Bologna 2 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Gustavo Varela

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2026 7.45pm
Atalanta 0 - 3 Parma
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Nikola Krstović

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monza win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Atalanta BC has a probability of 35.63% and a draw has a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win is 1-2 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).

Result

Monza 38.13% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 26.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Atalanta BC 35.63% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.13% ▼ (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.52% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 19.48% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 58.43% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 41.57% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 37.05% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 62.95% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 4.5 21.91% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 78.09% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Monza 32.25% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 41.9% ▼ (-0.07)
Atalanta BC 25.84% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Monza 53.71% ▲ (+0.14)
No Goal 5.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Atalanta BC 41% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 57.67% ▲ (+0.32)
Equal 8 11.66% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 30.67% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 9 45.8% ▲ (+0.33)
Equal 9 11.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 42.33% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 10.5 34.74% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 10.5 65.26% ▼ (-0.32)

Monza Goals

Over 1.5 43.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 56.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 19.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.87% ▼ (-0.01)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 72.18% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 0.5 27.82% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 41.69% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 58.31% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 18.06% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 81.94% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 6.98% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 93.02% ▲ (+0.12)

Score analysis

Monza 38.13%
Draw 26.2%
Atalanta BC 35.62%
Monza
2-1 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 38.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 7.12%
0-0 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 26.2%
Atalanta BC
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-1 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.33%
Other @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 35.62%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 35
May 4, 2025 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Tiago Palacios 51' yellowcard
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 12'
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 23'
  • goal Ademola Lookman 47'
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 71'
  • yellowcard Juan Cuadrado 81'
  • goal Marco Brescianini 88'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Berat Djimsiti 54' yellowcard
  • Sead Kolasinac 56' yellowcard
  • Lazar Samardzic 70' goal
  • Davide Zappacosta 88' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Maldini 77'
  • yellowcard Luca Caldirola 82'
  • yellowcard Mattia Valoti 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Samuele Birindelli 3' yellowcard
  • Armando Izzo 66' yellowcard
  • Daniel Maldini 89' goal
  • Warren Bondo 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 44'
  • goal El Bilal Toure 72'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 83'
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Ederson 35' goal
  • Gianluca Scamacca 42' goal
  • Gianluca Scamacca 62' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Pessina 44'
  • yellowcard Pablo Mari 59'
  • yellowcard Armando Izzo 83'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Teun Koopmeiners 12' goal
  • Teun Koopmeiners 45'+1' goal
  • Rasmus Hojlund 74' goal
  • Teun Koopmeiners 79' goal
  • Luis Muriel 90'+2' goal
  • goal Andrea Colpani 51'
  • goal Andrea Petagna 81'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 57'
  • goal Marlon Santos 65' (OG)