Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2026 7.45pm
U-Power Stadium

Monza vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Oct 23, 2026 7.45pm
Torino 3 - 2 Monza
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Gustavo Varela

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 5.00pm
Napoli 3 - 3 Roma
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Kevin De Bruyne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Monza has a probability of 32.46% and a draw has a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Monza win is 2-1 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).

Result

Monza 32.46% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 26.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Napoli 41.39% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.78% ▼ (-0.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.28% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 21.72% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 55.16% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 2.5 44.84% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 3.5 32.74% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 3.5 67.26% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 4.5 19.01% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 4.5 80.99% ▲ (+0.32)

First Half Winner

Monza 30.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 41.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Napoli 27.9% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Monza 49.84% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 5.94% ▲ (+0.09)
Napoli 44.22% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 50.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 37.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 38.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 49.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 28.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 71.54% ▲ (+0.04)

Monza Goals

Over 1.5 36.36% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 63.64% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 14.83% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 85.17% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 4.83% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.17% ▲ (+0.10)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 75.28% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 24.72% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 43.76% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 56.24% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 19.4% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 80.6% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 7.13% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 92.87% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Monza 32.47%
Draw 26.15%
Napoli 41.39%
Monza
2-1 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 4.75%
3-1 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 32.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.15%
Napoli
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 41.39%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Dany Mota 33' yellowcard
  • Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro 54' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bianco 70' yellowcard
  • Luca Caldirola 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafa Marin 30'
  • goal Scott McTominay 72'
  • yellowcard Cyril Ngonge 90'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Matteo Politano 22' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 26' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 33' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Maldini 24'
  • yellowcard Armando Izzo 36'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 2.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Milan Djuric 9' goal
  • Giulio Donati 42' yellowcard
  • Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro 46' yellowcard
  • Andrea Colpani 62' goal
  • Luca Caldirola 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cyril Ngonge 41'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 55'
  • goal Matteo Politano 57'
  • goal Piotr Zielinski 61'
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 69'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2023 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Juan Jesus 66' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 67' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 80' yellowcard
  • Walter Mazzarri 81' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 82' yellowcard
  • Walter Mazzarri 83' redcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Pereira 32'
  • yellowcard Raffaele Palladino 33'
  • yellowcard Samuele Birindelli 50'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Cittadini 79'
  • yellowcard Warren Bondo 82'
  • redcard Mirko Maric 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Dany Mota 18' goal
  • Andrea Petagna 54' goal
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 35' goal
  • Victor Osimhen 45'+2' goal
  • Mario Rui 59' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 62' goal
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 73' yellowcard
  • Kim Min-jae 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Gianluca Caprari 38'