Serie A Gameweek 6
Oct 11, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Olimpico

Lazio vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 7.45pm
Venezia 0 - 2 Lazio
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Davide Frattesi

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2026 7.45pm
Monza 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Gustavo Varela

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lazio win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Monza has a probability of 31.69% and a draw has a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Monza win is 0-1 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).

Result

Lazio 42.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 26.29% ▼ (-0.13)
Monza 31.69% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.74% ▲ (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.8% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 24.2% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 52.72% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 2.5 47.28% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 30.82% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 69.18% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 4.5 17.19% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 4.5 82.81% ▼ (-0.26)

First Half Winner

Lazio 31.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 43.76% ▲ (+0.12)
Monza 25.16% ▼ (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Lazio 50.52% ▲ (+0.18)
No Goal 7.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Monza 42.39% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 52.56% ▲ (+0.46)
Equal 8 11.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 35.58% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 9 40.97% ▲ (+0.37)
Equal 9 11.59% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 47.44% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 10.5 30.56% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 10.5 69.44% ▼ (-0.27)

Lazio Goals

Over 1.5 42.4% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 57.6% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 18.15% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 81.85% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 6.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.76% ▼ (-0.09)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 67.19% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 32.81% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 34.54% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 65.46% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 2.5 13.36% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 86.64% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 4.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 95.62% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Lazio 42.01%
Draw 26.29%
Monza 31.7%
Lazio
1-0 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 42.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.29%
Monza
0-1 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 31.7%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Adam Marusic 31' goal
  • Pedro 57' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 63' goal
  • Pedro 77' goal
  • Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 88' goal
  • yellowcard Maximilian Dietz 40'
  • yellowcard Pedro Pereira 45'
  • goal Stefano Sensi 86'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Andrea Carboni 17' yellowcard
  • Andrea Carboni 17' yellowcard
  • Pedro Pereira 18' yellowcard
  • Pedro Pereira 18' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bianco 55' yellowcard
  • Daniel Maldini 57' yellowcard
  • Matteo Pessina 83' yellowcard
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 36'
  • yellowcard Gustav Isaksen 77'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 4, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Milan Djuric 73' goal
  • Giulio Donati 80'+6' yellowcard
  • Giulio Donati 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ciro Immobile 11'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zaccagni 15'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Casale 35'
  • yellowcard Daichi Kamada 45'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 56'
  • yellowcard Patric 68'
  • goal Matias Vecino 83'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Danilo Cataldi 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Ciro Immobile 12' goal
  • Nicolo Rovella 88' yellowcard
  • Luis Alberto 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Roberto Gagliardini 36'
  • yellowcard Armando Izzo 38'
  • yellowcard Dany Mota 40'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT U-Power Stadium
  • goal Pedro 13'
  • goal Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 56'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Nov 10, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Luka Romero 69' goal