Serie A Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2026 7.45pm
Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta BC vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2026 7.45pm
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Nikola Krstović

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2026 5.30pm
Parma 0 - 0 Udinese
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Simone Lontani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.94%. A draw has a probability of 18.73% and a win for Parma has a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.79%) , while for a Parma win it is 0-1 (4.57%).

Result

Atalanta BC 67.94% ▲ (+0.26)
Draw 18.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Parma 13.3% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.52% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.99% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 22.01% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 55.87% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 44.13% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 34.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 65.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 23.11%
Under 4.5 76.89%

First Half Winner

Atalanta BC 60.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 30.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Parma 9.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Atalanta BC 77.08% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Parma 17.21% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.02% ▲ (+0.32)
Equal 8 10.19%
Under 8 24.79% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 9 54.04% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 9 10.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 34.98% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 10.5 43.16% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 10.5 56.84% ▼ (-0.25)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 1.5 61.43% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 38.57% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 36.26% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 63.74% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 17.94% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 82.06% ▼ (-0.07)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 44.65% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 0.5 55.35% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 1.5 15.8% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 84.2% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 3.92% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 96.08% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 0.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 99.11% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 67.95%
Draw 18.73%
Parma 13.3%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 11.42% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 17.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 67.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 18.73%
Parma
0-1 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 13.3%

Head to Head

Serie A
Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Gianluca Scamacca 15' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 24' goal
  • Isak Hien 46' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Bernasconi 61' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstović 61' yellowcard
  • Mario Pašalić 72' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Raspadori 73' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 79' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstović 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Mateo Pellegrino 46'
  • yellowcard Emanuele Valeri 46'
  • yellowcard Gaetano Oristanio 46'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ondrejka 64'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordóñez 85'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Aug 30, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Daniel Maldini 32' goal
  • Daniel Maldini 33' goal
  • Berat Djimsiti 47' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Hainaut 49'
  • goal Jacob Ondrejka 71'
  • yellowcard Botond Balogh 89'
  • goal Jacob Ondrejka 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Matteo Cancellieri 49' goal
  • goal Mateo Retegui 4'
  • goal Ederson 39'
  • yellowcard Gian Piero Gasperini 54'
  • redcard Gian Piero Gasperini 54'
  • goal Ademola Lookman 75'
  • yellowcard Matteo Ruggeri 88'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 90'+3'
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2024 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Dennis Man 6' goal
  • Ange-Yoan Bonny 30' goal
  • Dennis Man 51' goal
  • Anthony Partipilo 78' goal
  • goal Ademola Lookman 33'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 9, 2021 2.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alberto Grassi 44' yellowcard
  • Juan Brunetta 78' goal
  • Simon Sohm 88' goal
  • goal Ruslan Malinovskyi 12'
  • goal Matteo Pessina 52'
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 72'
  • goal Luis Muriel 77'
  • goal Luis Muriel 86'
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 90'+3'