Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2026 7.45pm
Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Dundee Utd 3 - 2 Aberdeen
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk 3 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Jacob Murrell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aberdeen win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Falkirk has a probability of 33.29% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aberdeen win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Falkirk win is 0-1 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result

Aberdeen 40.67% ▲ (+0.28)
Draw 26% ▲ (+0.11)
Falkirk 33.29% ▼ (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94% ▼ (-0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.07% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 24.93% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 51% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 49% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 28.92% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 3.5 71.08% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 4.5 15.9% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 4.5 84.1% ▲ (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Aberdeen 34.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 42.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Falkirk 23.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Aberdeen 54.7% ▼ (-0.19)
No Goal 6.82% ▲ (+0.13)
Falkirk 38.48% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 69.4% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 8 9.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 20.82% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 9 58.45% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 9 10.96%
Under 9 30.6% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 10.5 47.21% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 10.5 52.79% ▼ (-0.25)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 1.5 40.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.15%
Under 2.5 82.85%
Over 3.5 5.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 68.3% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 0.5 31.7% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 1.5 34.69% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 1.5 65.31% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 2.5 13.12% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 86.88% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 4.13% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 95.87% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 40.67%
Draw 26.01%
Falkirk 33.29%
Aberdeen
1-0 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 40.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.01%
Falkirk
0-1 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 33.29%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Ante Palaversa 61' yellowcard
  • Toyosi Olusanya 61' yellowcard
  • Lyall Cameron 61' yellowcard
  • Kevin Nisbet 73' goal
  • Alexander Jensen 81' yellowcard
  • Sivert Heltne Nilsen 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henry Cartwright 69'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ross 69'
  • yellowcard E. Williams 75'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 81'
  • goal Barney Stewart 89'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Filip Lissah 58' goal
  • Ethan Ross 61' yellowcard
  • E. Williams 74' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 75' yellowcard
  • Alfie Agyeman 85' yellowcard
  • Henry Cartwright 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 35'
  • yellowcard Dante Polvara 46'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 74'
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 74'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Milanovic 80'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 31, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm