Scottish League One Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Links Park
  • Harry Craig 35' yellowcard
  • Gary Oliver 37' goal
  • Gary Oliver 41' goal
  • Harry Craig 61' goal
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Keir Bertie 69' yellowcard
  • Kieran Freeman 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darragh O'Connor 19'

Montrose vs East Kilbride - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Alloa 3 - 0 Montrose
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Gary Oliver

East Kilbride

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
East Kilbride 3 - 0 Cove Rangers
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Finlay Gray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

Montrose 42.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 23.41%
East Kilbride 33.97% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 17.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 63.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 36.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 41.93%
Under 3.5 58.07%
Over 4.5 26.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 73.29% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Montrose 33.38%
Draw 36.72%
East Kilbride 29.9%

Team To Score First

Montrose 51.82% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
East Kilbride 43.55%

Corners

Over 8 63.05%
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 26.22%
Over 9 51.66%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 36.95%
Over 10.5 40.56%
Under 10.5 59.44%

Montrose Goals

Over 1.5 47.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 24.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.4% ▼ (-0.01)

East Kilbride Goals

Over 0.5 70.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 41.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 19.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 80.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 8.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.79% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Montrose 42.67%
Draw 23.41%
East Kilbride 33.98%
Montrose
2-1 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.12%
Total : 42.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.41%
East Kilbride
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-1 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 4.02%
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 7.73%
Total : 33.98%