Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm

Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions

W
L
L
W
L
W

Scottish Championship

W
L
L
W
L
W

Last game

Sep 11, 2026 7.30pm

Morton 1 - 4 Livingston

Goals scored

8

Top scorer

Robbie Muirhead

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

D
D
L
D
L
D

Scottish Championship

D
D
L
D
D
D

Last game

Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm

Ayr 0 - 0 Inverness

Goals scored

2

Top scorer

Alfie Bavidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Livingston win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle has a probability of 27.16% and a draw has a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 0-1 (6.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.26%).

Result

Livingston 45.8%

Draw 27.04%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 27.16%

Both Teams to Score:

55.88%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.45%

Under 1.5 23.55%

Over 2.5 52.98%

Under 2.5 47.02%

Over 3.5 30.46%

Under 3.5 69.54%

Over 4.5 17.84%

Under 4.5 82.16%

First Half Winner

Livingston 34.53%

Draw 39.9%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 25.58%

Team To Score First

Livingston 53.84%

No Goal 7.38%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.78%

Corners

Over 8 54.68%

Equal 8 11.12%

Under 8 34.21%

Over 9 43.61%

Equal 9 11.07%

Under 9 45.32%

Over 10.5 33.44%

Under 10.5 66.56%

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 45.83%

Under 1.5 54.17%

Over 2.5 21.35%

Under 2.5 78.65%

Over 3.5 7.74%

Under 3.5 92.26%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 64.5%

Under 0.5 35.5%

Over 1.5 30.96%

Under 1.5 69.04%

Over 2.5 11.07%

Under 2.5 88.93%

Over 3.5 3.79%

Under 3.5 96.21%

Score analysis

Livingston 45.81%

Draw 27.04%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 27.18%

Livingston

2-1 @ 9.69%

1-0 @ 9.25%

2-0 @ 7.21%

3-1 @ 4.64%

3-0 @ 4.24%

3-2 @ 3.33%

Other @ 7.45%

Total : 45.81%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.26%

0-0 @ 7.38%

2-2 @ 5.71%

3-3 @ 1.4%

Other @ 0.29%

Total : 27.04%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

0-1 @ 6.95%

1-2 @ 6.86%

0-2 @ 3.99%

1-3 @ 2.28%

2-3 @ 1.87%

0-3 @ 1.73%

Other @ 3.5%

Total : 27.18%

Head to Head

Oct 12, 2024 2.00pm

2

2

HT : 2 2

FT Tony Macaroni Arena

Stevie May 17'
Lewis Smith 26'
Scott Pittman 28'

Paul Allan 10'
Charlie Gilmour 30'
Charlie Gilmour 52'

Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT Tony Macaroni Arena

Billy Mckay 51'
Sean Welsh 62'
Billy Mckay 80'

Jul 12, 2022 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Tony Macaroni Arena

Jack Fitzwater 45'
Sean Kelly 56'
Max Stryjek 59'
Jason Holt 84'

Roddy MacGregor 21'
Austin Samuels 37'
Daniel MacKay 67'
Zak Delaney 69'
George Oakley 88'

Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Sean Welsh 61'
Carl Tremarco 74'
David Carson 90'

Steven Lawless 45'

Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Tony Macaroni Arena (Livingston)

Liam Polworth 46'

Jan 2, 2018 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)

Aaron Doran 6'
Liam Polworth 36'
Iain Vigurs 36'
Iain Vigurs 43'
Riccardo Calder 81'

Declan Gallagher 41'
Alan Lithgow 82'
Craig Halkett 84'

Form Data

Morton 1 - 4 Livingston

Livingston 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Arbroath 1 - 0 Livingston

Livingston 2 - 0 Dunfermline

Partick 2 - 0 Livingston

Livingston 2 - 0 Queen's Park

Ayr 0 - 0 Inverness

Inverness 0 - 0 Raith Rovers

Stenhousemuir 3 - 1 Inverness

Inverness 1 - 1 Partick

Hearts 6 - 2 Inverness

Arbroath 0 - 0 Inverness