Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2026 7.30pm
Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston vs Stenhousemuir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Arbroath 1 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 3 - 1 Inverness
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Lewis O'Donnell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Livingston win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw has a probability of 27.31% and a win for Stenhousemuir has a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.11%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.65%) , while for a Stenhousemuir win it is 0-1 (6.44%).

Result

Livingston 50.64% (-0.01)
Draw 27.31%
Stenhousemuir 22.05% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.91%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.2% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 25.8% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.87%
Under 2.5 50.13%
Over 3.5 27.74% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 72.26% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 15.99%
Under 4.5 84.01%

First Half Winner

Livingston 38.63% (-0.03)
Draw 42.08% (+0.01)
Stenhousemuir 19.28% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Livingston 57.63%
No Goal 8.16%
Stenhousemuir 34.21%

Corners

Over 8 60.63% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.12%
Under 8 28.25% (-0.04)
Over 9 49.05% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 39.37% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 37.98% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 62.02% (-0.02)

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 47.49% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.51% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.26% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.74% (-0.02)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 59.2% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.8% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.26% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.74% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.81% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.19% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.16%
Under 3.5 97.84%

Score analysis

Livingston 50.64%
Draw 27.31%
Stenhousemuir 22.06%
Livingston
1-0 @ 11.21% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.11% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.08% (+0.01)
Total : 50.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 8.16%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 27.31%
Stenhousemuir
0-1 @ 6.44%
1-2 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 22.06%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Callum Penman 47' yellowcard
  • Matthew Gillies 80' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 85' yellowcard
Scottish Cup
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Nicky Jamieson 26' goal
  • goal Scott Pittman 52'
  • goal Steven Bradley 55'
  • goal Steven Bradley 59'
Scottish League Cup
Nov 10, 2020 7.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Andy Munro 25' yellowcard
  • Tommy Muir 58' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Forrest 1'
  • goal Alan Forrest 8'
  • goal Matej Poplatnik 30'
  • goal Aaron Taylor-Sinclair 65'
Scottish League One
Apr 15, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Liam Buchanan 54'
Scottish League One
Mar 21, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nikolay Todorov 25' goal
  • yellowcard Kieran Millar 56'
  • yellowcard Conner Duthie 69'
  • yellowcard Willis Furtado 84'
Scottish League One
Dec 13, 2016 7.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Marsh 75' yellowcard
  • Colin McMenamin 85' yellowcard
  • goal Ciaran Summers 16' (OG)
  • goal Raffaele De Vita 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Crighton 75'
  • goal Liam Buchanan 81'
  • goal Dale Carrick 92'