Nations League Gameweek 5
Scotland
Nov 13, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hampden Park
N. Macedonia
  • John McGinn 54' goal
  • John McGinn 74' goal
  • Lewis Ferguson 89' yellowcard
  • goal Elmin Rastoder 57'

Scotland vs North Macedonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

North Macedonia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 53.93%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 1-2 (6.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Scotland 53.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 22.24%
North Macedonia 23.8% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 22.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 67.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.52% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Scotland 39.45%
Draw 42.27%
North Macedonia 18.28%

Team To Score First

Scotland 57.19% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 6.38% ▼ (-0.01)
North Macedonia 36.43%

Corners

Over 8 53.79%
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 35.15%
Over 9 42.85%
Equal 9 10.94%
Under 9 46.21%
Over 10.5 32.85%
Under 10.5 67.15%

Scotland Goals

Over 1.5 51.42% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 48.58% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 26.89% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 73.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 88.41% ▼ (-0.03)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5 57.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 42.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 26.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 9.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.05% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Scotland 53.94%
Draw 22.24%
North Macedonia 23.79%
Scotland
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 8.22%
3-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 11.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 53.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 22.24%
North Macedonia
1-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 23.79%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
N. Macedonia
Oct 3, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Toše Proeski Arena
Scotland
  • Jani Atanasov 37' yellowcard
  • Gjorge Djekov 44' yellowcard
  • Mario Mladenovski 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Bojan Miovski 68' yellowcard
  • Anes Meljichi 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oli McBurnie 6'
  • goal Kieron Bowie 7'
  • goal John McGinn  69'
  • redcard Scott McKenna 83'
World Cup
N. Macedonia
Sep 10, 2013 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scotland
  • Ostoja Stjepanovic 71' yellowcard
  • Jovan Kostovski 83' goal
  • Vance Sikov 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ikechi Anya 59'
  • yellowcard Charlie Mulgrew 66'
  • yellowcard Steven Whittaker 72'
  • yellowcard Ikechi Anya 75'
  • goal Shaun Maloney 87'
World Cup
Scotland
Sep 11, 2012 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
N. Macedonia
  • Kenny Miller 0' goal
  • goal Nikolce Noveski 0'

Form Data

Scotland 1 - 2 Slovenia
N. Macedonia 0 - 2 Scotland
Scotland 0 - 3 Switzerland
Slovenia 0 - 0 Scotland
Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil
Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco
Switzerland 3 - 0 N. Macedonia
N. Macedonia 0 - 2 Scotland
Slovenia 2 - 0 N. Macedonia
N. Macedonia 0 - 3 Switzerland
Turkey 4 - 0 N. Macedonia
Bosnia H'vina 0 - 0 N. Macedonia