Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 7.45pm
Stadion Stožice

Slovenia vs North Macedonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions

North Macedonia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Slovenia win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw has a probability of 29.24% and a win for North Macedonia has a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.29%) , while for a North Macedonia win it is 0-1 (9.31%).

Result

Slovenia 49.8% ▼ (-0.68)
Draw 29.24% ▲ (+1.71)
North Macedonia 20.95% ▼ (-1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.32% ▼ (-3.76)

Goals

Over 1.5 60.77% ▼ (-3.54)
Under 1.5 39.23% ▲ (+3.54)
Over 2.5 34.46% ▼ (-4.57)
Under 2.5 65.54% ▲ (+4.58)
Over 3.5 16.24% ▼ (-3.79)
Under 3.5 83.73% ▲ (+3.75)
Over 4.5 8.78% ▼ (-2.33)
Under 4.5 91.22% ▲ (+2.32)

First Half Winner

Slovenia 33.31% ▼ (-0.77)
Draw 47.37% ▲ (+1.04)
North Macedonia 19.32% ▼ (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Slovenia 50.58% ▼ (-0.97)
No Goal 13.29% ▲ (+1.54)
North Macedonia 36.13% ▼ (-0.58)

Corners

Over 8 42.68% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.85% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 8 45.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 31.97% ▼ (-0.47)
Equal 9 10.71% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 9 57.32% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 10.5 23.03% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 10.5 76.97% ▲ (+0.61)

Slovenia Goals

Over 1.5 37.56% ▼ (-3.18)
Under 1.5 62.44% ▲ (+3.18)
Over 2.5 15.63% ▼ (-2.23)
Under 2.5 84.37% ▲ (+2.24)
Over 3.5 5.5% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 3.5 94.5% ▲ (+1.04)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5 49.12% ▼ (-2.64)
Under 0.5 50.88% ▲ (+2.64)
Over 1.5 16.35% ▼ (-2.57)
Under 1.5 83.65% ▲ (+2.58)
Over 2.5 4.48% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 2.5 95.52% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 3.5 1.06% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 98.94% ▲ (+0.38)

Score analysis

Slovenia 49.8%
Draw 29.24%
North Macedonia 20.95%
Slovenia
1-0 @ 16.62% ▲ (+1.57)
2-0 @ 10.6% ▲ (+0.55)
2-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.68)
3-0 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.67)
3-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.49)
Other @ 5.3% ▼ (-1.04)
Total : 49.8%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.29% ▲ (+1.54)
1-1 @ 12.37% ▲ (+0.79)
2-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.51)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 29.24%
North Macedonia
0-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.49)
1-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.32)
1-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.28)
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.86% ▼ (-0.38)
Total : 20.95%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 1, 2021 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Visar Musliu 27' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 37' yellowcard
  • Eljif Elmas 55' goal
  • Tihomir Kostadinov 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Stulac 52'
  • yellowcard Petar Stojanovic 53'
  • yellowcard Jasmin Kurtic 87'
  • goal Domen Crnigoj 90'+7'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 10, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Goran Pandev 27' yellowcard
  • Visar Musliu 42' yellowcard
  • Stefan Ristovski 43' yellowcard
  • Eljif Elmas 50' goal
  • Eljif Elmas 68' goal
  • Gjoko Zajkov 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jasmin Kurtic 43'
  • goal Josip Ilicic 95'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 24, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Josip Ilicic 19' yellowcard
  • Miha Zajc 34' goal
  • Bojan Jokic 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Egzon Bejtulai 14'
  • yellowcard Ilija Nestorovski 17'
  • yellowcard Visar Musliu 18'
  • yellowcard Boban Nikolov 19'
  • goal Enis Bardhi 47'